INTRADAY TIPS FOR 13 APRIL 2011

GOOD MORNING!!!

MARKETS STARTED THE DAY ON A WEAK NOTE TRACKING SUBDUED LEADS FROM THE ASIAN MARKETS MOST MARKETS HAVE COME OFF THE DAY’S HIGH LEVEL ON THE BACK OF PROFIT BOOKING AHEAD OF THE QUARTERLY CORPORATE EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENTS. AFTER THE WEAK START SELLING PRESSURE GATHERED GREATER FORCE AFTER GOVERNMENT RELEASED WEAKER THAN EXPECTED FEBRUARY IIP NUMBERS WHICH GREW AT A TEPID PACE OF 3.6%, TRIGGERING HEAVY SELL-OFF IN CAPITAL GOODS COUNTER. WHILE THE MARGINAL WILT IN INTERNATIONAL CRUDE OIL PRICES WHICH SPIRALED AT UNCOMFORTABLE LEVELS TOO FAILED TO ENTHUSE THE LOCAL MOOD AS PROSPECT OF LONG-TERM SUPPLY CUTS IN CRUDE OIL UNDERMINED SENTIMENTS. INVESTORS AND TRADERS FEARED THAT RISING OIL PRICES WOULD LEAD TO HEIGHTENED INFLATIONARY PRESSURE WHICH IN TURN WILL COMPEL THE RBI TO TAKE STERN POLICY ACTIONS IN ITS ANNUAL MONETARY POLICY REVIEW MEET NEXT MONTH. THE FRONTLINE INDICES FAILED TO SHOW ANY KIND OF RESILIENCE THEREAFTER AND TRADED NEGATIVE. THE MARKETS SAW POSITION SQUARING THROUGH THE DAY AND EVENTUALLY FINISHED THE DAY’S TRADE AROUND THE DAY’S LOW LEVEL. MARKET BREADTH REMAINED NEGATIVE.

TODAY MARKETS WOULD OPEN NEGATIVE AND CONTINUE TO TRADE ON THE NEGATIVE BIAS. IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5800 THEN LIKELY TO COME DOWN TO 5775 AND THEN TO 5750 LEVELS AND ANY BREACH BELOW 5750 WOULD DRAG NIFTY DOWN TO 5695 LEVELS. ONE HAS TO BE CAREFUL AT 5700 LEVELS AS NIFTY LIKELY TO TAKE SUPPORT AROUND THIS LEVELS BUT IF NIFTY CLOSES BELOW THIS POINT THEN WE CAN SEE NIFTY TO COME DOWN TO 5676 LEVELS. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5811 THEN LIKELY TO MOVE UP TO 5848 LEVELS AND IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5850 THEN THE ENTIRE DYNAMICS OF THE MARKETS CHANGE AND WILL TURN POSITIVE. IF NIFTY CLOSES ABOVE 5850 ONE CAN RETAIN LONGS FOR THE NEXT DAY.