INTRADAY TIPS FOR 29 APRIL 2011

GOOD MORNING!!!

IT TURNED OUT TO BE ANOTHER PATHETIC TRADING SESSION FOR THE MARKETS WHICH GOT POUNDED BY AROUND A PERCENTAGE POINT ON THE SETTLEMENT DAY OF APRIL SERIES. THE KEY INDICES EXTENDED THE THREE DAY DECLINING STREAK FOR THE FOURTH CONSECUTIVE SESSION AS THE SELLING PRESSURE GATHERED GREATER MOMENTUM AFTER GOVERNMENT RELEASED THE DISAPPOINTING FOOD INFLATION NUMBERS WHICH STAYED ABSOLUTELY FLAT AT 8.76% ON ANNUAL BASIS DURING WEEK-ENDED APRIL 16 COMPARED WITH 8.74% RECORDED IN THE PREVIOUS WEEK. WITH THE DOWNWARD TREND OF FOOD INFLATION COMING TO A HALT IN RECENT WEEKS, AND CORE INFLATION SHOWING A CONSIDERABLE UPTIC IN THE MONTHS OF FEBRUARY AND MARCH 2010, INFLATION CONTINUES TO REMAIN AT HIGHLY UNCOMFORTABLE LEVELS, MAKING THE GROWTH-INFLATION MIX INCREASINGLY COMPLEX AND THE JOB OF RESERVE BANK OF INDIA (RBI) INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT. MARKET PARTICIPANTS RESORTED TO BROAD BASED POSITION SQUARING AS THEY FELT THAT RBI WILL NOW BE FORCED TO ADOPT MORE AGGRESSIVE STANCE IN ITS ANNUAL MONETARY POLICY REVIEW MEET ON MAY 3RD.

TODAY NIFTY WOULD OPEN FLAT TO NEGATIVE AND CONTINUE TO BE UNDER PRESSURE IN THE ENTIRE DAY. IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5787 THEN LIKELY TO COME DOWN TO 5710 LEVELS AND ANY BREACH WOULD DRIFT DOWN TO MUCH LOWER TO ALMOST 5600 LEVELS SO ONE HAS TO BE VERY CAUTIOUS IN THE MARKET IF NIFTY BREAKS BELOW 5700 LEVELS. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5830 THEN ONE CAN SEE SOME POSITIVE WAVE IN THE NIFTY AND CAN TAKE NIFTY TO 5876 LEVELS AND THEN TO 5900 LEVELS BUT NIFTY IS UNDER GOOD PRESSURE SO ONE HAS TO WAIT AND WATCH THAN GOING LONGS IN THE NIFTY.

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 28 APRIL 2011

GOOD MORNING!!!

INDICES GOT OFF TO A POSITIVE OPENING TRACKING POSITIVE LEADS FROM THE ASIAN MARKETS, UNDERPINNED BY OVERNIGHT WALL STREET RALLY, SUPPORTED BY GOOD EARNINGS NUMBER AND BETTER THAN EXPECTED US CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DATA. THE FRONTLINE INDICES TRIED HARD TO KEEP THEIR HEAD ABOVE THE WATER BUT CONSTANT DISAPPOINTING RESULT ANNOUNCEMENTS BY MAJOR COMPANIES WEIGHED DOWN SENTIMENTS. THE INDICES DRIFTED DEEPER INTO THE RED TERRAIN AS POSITION SQUARING IN REALTY AND BANKING STOCKS INTENSIFIED IN THE AFTERNOON TRADE. THE PERSISTENT WEAKNESS ON HEAVYWEIGHT COUNTERS SUCH AS RELIANCE INDUSTRIES AND ICICI BANK SOON DRAGGED THE MARKETS TO INTRADAY LOW LEVELS AND ALL ATTEMPTS TO PULL BACK FROM THOSE LEVELS WENT IN VAIN. THE BOURSES EVENTUALLY SNAPPED THE SESSION ON A PESSIMISTIC NOTE AND EXTENDED THE DECLINING STREAK FOR THE THIRD STRAIGHT SESSION. MARKET BREADTH REMAINED NEGATIVE.

TODAY NIFTY WOULD OPEN FLAT AND RANGE BOUND. IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5850 THEN LIKELY TO MOVE UP TO 5882 AND THEN TO 5900 LEVELS AND ANY BREAK ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5918 AND BREAK ABOVE THIS WOULD TAKE FURTHER UPSIDE IN NIFTY. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5830 THEN LIKELY TO TRADE DOWN TO 5800 LEVELS AND ANY BREAK BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD TAKE IT TO 5757 LEVELS, IF NIFTY BREAKS 5700 ON THE DOWNSIDE WE CAN SEE A VERY DEEP DRIFT IN NIFTY AND ON THE UPSIDE IF NIFTY BREAKS 6000 WE CAN SEE A GREAT SURGE. SO ONE SHOULD KEENLY WATCH 5700 AND 6000 BOTH ON DOWSIDE AND UPSIDE

BUY ONGC SL 310 TGT 313.60/315.80/317
BUY EDUCOMP SL 473 TGT 478/482/487
BUY TATA CHEM SL 388 TGT 393/396/402
BUY KAJARIA CERAMICS SL 83.50 TGT 86/88/90

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 27 APRIL 2011

GOOD MORNING!!!

INDICES GOT OFF TO A QUIET START AS INVESTORS REMAINED CAUTIOUS TRACKING ASIAN EQUITIES WHICH WITNESSED HEAVY BOUTS OF PROFIT BOOKING ON THE BACK OF THE MIXED CORPORATE EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENTS ON OVERNIGHT WALL. THE INDICES SLIPPED DEEPER IN TO THE RED ZONE AFTER THE FLAT OPENING, AS ACROSS THE BOARD POSITION SQUARING GATHERED MOMENTUM IN THE MORNING TRADE. HOWEVER, AFTER HITTING INTRADAY LOW LEVELS IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON SESSION THE MARKETS STAGED A SMART RECOVERY AND EVEN WENT ON TO STEAL A LOOK INTO THE GREEN TERRITORY TRACKING POSITIVE TRIGGERS FROM EUROPEAN MARKETS AND BETTER THAN EXPECTED RESULTS FROM THE CEMENT MAJORS AND REBOUND IN TELECOM STOCKS RESULTED IN SENTIMENT TURNAROUND AS INVESTORS COVERED SHORT POSITIONS NOT ONLY IN ACC, ULTRATECH BHARTI AIRTEL AND RCOM BUT ALSO IN BANKING AND AUTO HEAVYWEIGHTS LIKE SBI, ICICI BANK, TATA MOTORS AND BAJAJ AUTO, BUT SLIGHT PROFIT BOOKING IN A FEW BLUE-CHIP STOCKS IN THE DYING MOMENTS LED THE BOURSES TO EVENTUALLY SNAP THE SESSION ON A FLAT NOTE WITH A NEGATIVE BIAS. MARKETS HAVE REGISTERED VERY STRONG VOLUMES ON THE SECOND DAY OF F&O EXPIRY WEEK BUT BREADTH OF THE MARKET STILL REMAINED NEGATIVE.

TODAY MARKETS WOULD OPEN POSITIVE AND RANGE BOUND. IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5900 THEN LIKLEY TO MOVE UP TO 5940 AND BREAK ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 6000 LEVELS AND ANY BREAK ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO MUCH HIGHER LEVELS. AS 6000 LEVELS BEING VERY CRUCIAL ONE CAN LOOK AT SHORTING NIFTY WHEN NIFTY IS JUST BELOW 6000 LEVELS WITH A STOPLOSS OF 6000. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5876 THEN LIKELY TO MAKE ITS JOURNEY DOWNWARDS TO 5833 AND THEN TO 5800 AND ANY BREAK BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5760 LEVELS. SINCE WE ARE IN THE LAST LEGS OF EXPIRY FOR THIS MONTH WE MAY SEE VERY VOLATILE AND CRAZY MOVEMENT IN THS MARKETS. STAY CAUTIOUS.

BUY APIL SL 621 TGT 640/650/670
BUY TRIVENI SL 107.75 TGT 110/112/114
BUY VIKASH METAL & POWER SL 17.60 TGT 18.70/19.30/20.50
BUY UFLEX SL 200 TGT 211/218/228*
BUY VENKYS (I) SL 719 TGT 750/770/800*
BUY JINDAL SAW SL 209 TGT 211.80/213.70/217*

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 26 APRIL 2011

GOOD MORNING!!!

INDICES GOT OFF TO A QUIET OPENING AS CAUTIOUS INVESTORS LACKED CONVICTION TO PILE UP POSITIONS LACKING SIGNIFICANT LEADS. BELOW EXPECTATION FIGURES FROM INDEX HEAVY-WEIGHT RELIANCE INDUSTRIES AND AXIS BANK DURING THE WEEKEND DRAGGED THE MARKET IN THE RED INITIALLY HOWEVER; THE BOURSES WENT AHEAD TO TEST THE 5,900 LEVELS WHICH ONCE AGAIN PROVED AS A STIFF RESISTANCE FOR THE INDICES AS THE MARKET GAVE UP SOME GAINS WITH A FEW BLUE-CHIP STOCKS RETREATING ON PROFIT TAKING. THEREAFTER THE INDICES TRADED IN A STIFF RANGE AROUND THE NEUTRAL LINE BUT SOON AFTER SENTIMENTS GOT WEIGHED DOWN IN THE DYING HOURS OF TRADE AS UPDATES FROM THE 2G CASE TRIAL HIT HEADLINES PROMPTING INVESTORS TO BOOK PROFITS IN SCAM LINKED SHARES LIKE RCOM, UNITECH AND DB REALTY, SOME POSITION SQUARING IN THE LATE HOURS EVENTUALLY BROUGHT THE INDICES MARGINALLY BELOW PREVIOUS CLOSE. THOUGH THE VOLUMES WERE VERY LESS THE BREADTH OF THE MARKET REMAINED NEGATIVE.

TODAY NIFTY WOULD OPEN FLAT TO NEGATIVE AND RANGE BOUND, NIFTY TO BE UNDER PRESSURE ON EVERY INCLINE. IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5885 THEN LIKELY TO COME DOWN TO 5857 LEVELS AND BREACH BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD DRAG DOWN NIFTY TO 5840 LEVELS AND FURTHER BREACH OF THIS LEVEL WOULD WEAKEN NIFTY AND HEAD TOWARDS 5800 LEVELS, ONE CAN STAY SHORT IF NIFTY BREACHES 5840 LEVELS AND TRADES AND IF NIFTY CLOSES BELOW 5840 ONE CAN RETAIN SHORTS FOR THE NEXT TRADING DAY. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5930 ONLY THEN ONE IS ADVISED TO GO LONG AND ABOVE 5930 NIFTY LIKELY TO MOVE UP TO 6000 AND MAY FACE TOUGH RESISTANCE OVER THERE AND ONCE IF 6000 LEVELS ARE BROKEN THEN WE CAN SEE NIFTY TO MOVE UP MORE THAN 400 POINTS FROM THERE ON. ONE CAN GO SHORT AT HIGHER LEVELS AS THERE IS EVERY CHANCE OF DECLINE ON THE FOLLOWING REASONS
1. CRUDE SURGING, OIL PRICE LIKELY TO INCREASE PHENOMENALLY
2. RESULTS NOT REALLY VERY GREAT ACROSS MANY OF THE COUNTERS.
3. RBI LIKELY TO INCREASE THE RATES DURING ITS POLICY MEET IN THE FIRST WEEK OF MAY
4. INFLATION LIKELY TO SURGE ON ACCOUNT OF FUEL PRICE INCREASE.
5. POLITICAL ISSUES.
ONE IS ADVISED TO STAY CAUTIOUS ON THE LONGS CONSIDERING THE ABOVE FACTORS.

BUY THOMAS COOK SL 61 TGT 63/64/66
BUY WELSPUN (I) SL 63.50 TGT 66.90/68.70/71.85
BUY TRF SL 626 TGT 666/694/735

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 25 APRIL 2011

GOOD MORNING!!!

ON THURSDAY MARKETS GOT OFF TO A GAP UP OPENING AS IT CARRIED FORWARD THE ENTHUSIASM, AFTER THE SHARP RALLY OF PREVIOUS DAY AS INVESTORS’ MOOD REMAINED UPBEAT FOLLOWING THE RALLY IN ASIAN AND OVERNIGHT WALL STREET, SUPPORTED BY HEFTY GAINS IN TECHNOLOGY COUNTER AND REPORTS OF LARGER THAN PREDICTED RISE IN US EXISTING HOME SALES NUMBERS. AFTER THE FIRM OPENING, THE FRONTLINE INDICES CAPITALIZED ON THE INITIAL MOMENTUM AND WENT ON TO TEST THE RESISTANCE OF 5,900 LEVELS WHICH PROVED AS A STIFF RESISTANCE LEVELS FOR THE INDICES AS THEY ONCE AGAIN FALTERED AFTER INCHING CLOSER TO THOSE LEVELS AS THE MARKET GAVE UP SOME GAINS WITH A FEW BLUE-CHIP STOCKS RETREATING SLIGHTLY ON PROFIT TAKING. THEREAFTER INDICES OSCILLATED IN A NARROW RANGE THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF TRADE AND ENDED ON A POSITIVE NOTE OF AROUND HALF A PERCENT GAINS IN THE INDICES, EVEN THOUGH MARKET BREADTH OF SLIGHTLY NEGATIVE MANAGED TO CLOSE POSITIVE.

TODAY MARKETS WOULD BE RANGE BOUND AND CONTINUE TO BE UNDER PRESSURE, WE CAN WITNESS SOME SELLING TO COME IN ANY TIME DURING THE MARKETS ON EVERY UPSIDE. IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5930 ONE CAN GO LONG AND CONTINUE TO HOLD AS NIFTY LIKELY TO INCH HIGHER, IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5930 THEN WE CAN SEE NIFTY TO MOVE UP TO 5958 LEVELS AND BREAK ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5975 AND THEN TO 6000 LEVELS WOULD ACT AS A TOUGH RESISTANCE, BUT ANY BREAK ANY DAY ABOVE 6000 LEVELS WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 6400 LEVELS IMMEDIATELY IN A VERY SHORT SPAN OF TIME. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5885 ONE CAN SEE NIFTY TO 5850 AND THEN TO 5828 LEVELS , IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5828 THEN WE CAN SEE 5806 TO 5800 BUT IF NIFTY BREAKS THIS LEVELS THEN LIKELY TO COME DOWN TO 5870 LEVELS, BREAK BELOW 5870 LEVELS WE CAN SEE FURTHER WEAKNESS IN NIFTY.

BUY STERLITE INDS SL 178 TGT 180.40/181.40/183
BUY SESAGOA SL 321 TGT 326/330/335
BUY GESHIPPING SL 289 TGT 292.70/295/297.80
BUY RAIN COMMODITIES SL 169 TGT 175/180/184
BUY VST INDS SL 880 TGT 927/959/1000
BUY MRF SL 7396 TGT 7670/7848/8000
NOTE: BUY THE ABOVE RECOMMENDATIONS ONLY IF THEY OPEN POSITIVE

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 21 APRIL 2011

GOOD MORNING!!!

INDICES GOT OFF TO GOOD START AS SENTIMENTS REMAINED SANGUINE, THANKS TO ENCOURAGING LEADS FROM THE ASIAN AND OVERNIGHT US MARKETS WHICH REBOUNDED ON THE BACK OF BETTER THAN EXPECTED EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENTS BY BLUE-CHIP STOCKS ALONG WITH SOME GOOD US HOME CONSTRUCTION REPORT. THE FRONTLINE INDICES, AFTER THE STRONG OPENING, GYRATED IN A TIGHT RANGE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TRADE. BUT THE INDICES SLIPPED TO THE LOW POINT OF THE DAY AFTER REPORTS OF TRIAL COURT REJECTING BAIL TO 5 ACCUSED IN 2G CASE HIT HEADLINES. HOWEVER, AFTER SOME JITTERS, THE BENCHMARKS STABILIZED AND JUMPED BACK WITH GREATER CONVICTION. THOUGH MARKETS JUMPED UP BY 2% THE BREADTH OF THE MARKET REMAINED WEAK

TODAY MARKETS WOULD OPEN POSITIVE AND MAY WOULD REMAIN ON THE POSITIVE SIDE ONLY IF RELIANCE AND TATA MOTORS COME OUT WITH A DECENT SET OF NUMBERS ELSE MARKETS WOULD COME DOWN. STAY CAUTIOUS AT HIGHER LEVELS AROUND 5900 LEVELS. IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5875 THEN LIKELY TO MOVE UP TO 5901 AND THEN TO 5933 LEVELS, AND ANY BREAK ABOVE 5933 MAY HAVE A SLIGHT RESISTANCE AROUND 5950 BUT ONCE THIS IS BREACHED WE MAY HEAD TO 6000 LEVELS. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5864 LEVELS THEN LIKELY TO MAKE ITS WAY DOWN TO 5827 AND THEN TO 5774 LEVELS AND ANY TRADE BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD DRAG NIFTY TO 5705 LEVELS. BE CAUTIOUS IN THE MARKETS AS CRUDE IS INCHING HIGHER.

BUY TRIVENI ENGG SL 104 TGT 107.75/109.50/111.20
BUY HCL TECH SL 520 TGT 531/536/546
BUY APIL SL 605 TGT 620/633/639
BUY SUBEX SL 79.40 TGT 83/85/89

POSITIONAL TRADES

BUY IBREAL TGT 185

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 20 APRIL 2011

GOOD MORNING!!!

INDICES STARTED THE DAY ON A CAUTIOUS NOTE TRACKING THE ASIAN INDICES WHICH CRUMBLED IN THE MORNING TRADE, FOLLOWING THE OVERNIGHT PLUNGE ON WALL STREET AFTER S&P RAISED CONCERN ABOUT US’ DEBTS AND AFTER S&P’S WARNING TO DOWNGRADE US CREDIT RATING FROM AAA AND REVISION IN ITS CREDIT OUTLOOK TO NEGATIVE. INDICES WENT THROUGH AN EXTREMELY UNSTABLE SESSION OF TRADE, THE FRONT LINE STOCKS LACKED CONVICTION RIGHT FROM THE INITIAL MOMENTS OF TRADE AND WENT AHEAD TO HIT THE LOW POINT OF THE DAY IN THE MID MORNING SESSION. AFTER HITTING INTRADAY LOWS THE INDICES SOON HIT INTRADAY HIGH LEVELS WITHIN AN HOUR BUT FAILED TO CAPITALIZE ON THE MOMENTUM AMID HIGH VOLATILITY. THEREAFTER, THE BOURSES CONTINUED TO GYRATE AROUND THE NEUTRAL LINE TO EVENTUALLY SNAP THE SESSION IN THE GREEN ZONE WITH MARGINAL GAINS. BREADTH OF THE MARKETS REMAINED NEGATIVE

TODAY MARKETS WOULD OPEN POSITIVE AND RANGEBOUND. IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5765 THEN LIKELY TO MOVE UP TO 5802 AND BREAK ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5832 LEVELS AND THIS WOULD ACT AS GOOD RESISTANCE IN THE MARKETS. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5750 THEN LIKLEY TO COME DOWN TO 5718 AND BREAK BELOW THIS POINT WOULD DRAG NIFTY TO 5700 AND ANY BREAK BELOW 5700 WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5674 AND THEN TO 5600 LEVELS. ONE HAS TO BEAR IN MIND THAT NIFTY MAY NOT REALLY COME DOWN BELOW 5600 LEVELS ONE CAN START ACCUMULATING ON EVERY DECLINE FROM HERE ON AS WE MAY LIKLEY TO INCH HIGHER. WE HAVE SEEN VERY STOCK SPECIFIC MOVES IN THE MARKETS IN THE LAST COUPLE OF SESSIONS WHICH WOULD REMAIN THE SAME IN THE MARKETS FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME TILL THE RESULTS ARE FULLY OUT AS INVESTORS AS LITTLE APPREHENSIVE.

BUY DCB SL 61 TGT 63.80/65/67
BUY SUBEX AZURE SL 71.75 TGT 74/76/79
BUY KEI INDS SL 29.40 TGT 30.80/31.25/31.90

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 19 APRIL 2011

GOOD MORNING!!!

MARKETS STARTED THE DAY ON A POSITIVE NOTE TRACKING THE ASIAN INDICES WHICH MOSTLY TRADED IN GREEN ZONE AS INVESTORS SHRUGGED OFF UNPLEASANT REPORTS OF YET ANOTHER ANTI-INFLATIONARY MOVE BY CHINA, INDICES WERE ENERGETIC AS LEADS FROM THE US REMAINED OPTIMISTIC. AFTER THE FLAT START THE BENCHMARKS CAPITALIZED ON THE INITIAL MOMENTUM ON THE BACK OF SUSTAINED BUYING ACROSS THE BOARD. HOWEVER, THE INDICES TOOK A SHARP U-TURN AFTER TOUCHING RESISTANCE LEVELS OF 5,920, MARKET PARTICIPANTS RESORTED TO BROAD BASED POSITION SQUARING ON THE BACK OF MOUNTING INFLATIONARY PRESSURE WHICH THEY FELT WILL FORCE RBI TO ADOPT MORE AGGRESSIVE STANCE IN ITS ANNUAL MONETARY POLICY REVIEW MEET ON MAY 3RD. ABSENCE OF SUPPORTIVE LEADS FROM THE MARKETS ACROSS THE GLOBE TOO DID NO GOOD FOR THE LOCAL SENTIMENTS. THE WILT IN INTERNATIONAL CRUDE OIL PRICES BECAUSE OF DEMAND SIDE WORRIES TOO WENT UNNOTICED AS INVESTORS CONTINUED TO BOOK PROFIT AND PUNISHED THE TECHNOLOGY BELLWETHER INFOSYS FOR THE SECOND STRAIGHT DAY FOR ITS DISAPPOINTING EARNINGS AND GUIDANCE FOR FY12. WHILE PROFIT BOOKING IN BANKING HEAVYWEIGHT STOCK LIKE HDFC BANK AHEAD OF ITS QUARTERLY EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENT LATER IN THE DAY LED TO PROFIT BOOKING IN OTHER BANKING MAJORS AND WITH THE ABSENCE OF ANY SHORT COVERING RALLY, THE BOURSES CONTINUED THEIR FREEFALL ONLY TO SETTLE AROUND THE LOWER LOWS OF THE DAY THE BREADTH OF THE MARKET REMAINED NEGATIVE AND CLOSED MUCH BELOW THE SUPPORT LEVELS.

TODAY MARKETS WOULD OPEN NEGATIVE TRACKING THE GLOBAL CUES. IN THE LAST TRADING SESSION WE HAVE SEEN THAT NIFTY HAS BROKEN THE CRUCIAL SUPPORT WHERE NIFTY LIKELY TO TRAVEL DOWN TO 5660 LEVELS ON THE BROAD LINES. ON INTRADAY PERSPECTIVE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5725 THEN LIKELY TO COME DOWN TO 5660 LEVELS AND BREAK BELOW 5660 WE WOULD TRAVEL DOWN TO 5630 LEVELS AND WE MAY TAKE MAJOR SUPPORT AT 5600 LEVELS IF NIFTY BREAKS DOWN 5630. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5760 ONE CAN TAKE LONG POSITION ON INTRADAY FRONT FOR A TARGET OF 5796 AND THEN BREAK ABOVE THAT POINT WOULD TAKE IT TO 5845. LAST DAY WE HAVE WITNESSED HUGE SELLING WITH GOOD VOLUMES SO ONE HAS TO BE CAUTIOUS TAKING LONG POSITIONS.

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 18 APRIL 2011

GOOD MORNING!!!

A BREAK WITH A NASTY BLOW IN INDICES LED BY DREADFUL INFOSYS RESULTS, THE FLAVOR OF A HECTIC EARNING SEASON TURNED BITTER RIGHT FROM THE VERY START AND THE FRONTLINE INDICES TOOK A BLOW AFTER IT BELLWETHER INFOSYS REPORTED BELOW EXPECTATION QUARTERLY EARNINGS AND GAVE EVEN LOWER THAN EXPECTED EPS GUIDANCE FOR FY12. MATTER GOT EVEN WORSE WITH THE RELEASE OF SCARY MARCH MONTH INFLATION NUMBERS WHICH SPIRALED TO 8.98% FROM 8.31% IN THE PREVIOUS MONTH, CASTING A GLOOMY SHADOW OVER THE ECONOMY’S OUTLOOK. SURGE IN INFLATION NUMBERS HAS INCREASED THE TROUBLE OF POLICY MAKERS AND THE RBI IS EXPECTED TO ADOPT MUCH MORE AGGRESSIVE STANCE IN ITS ANNUAL MONETARY POLICY REVIEW MEET ON MAY 3RD. IT IS EXPECTED THAT THIS TIME AROUND IT MAY NOT JUST TAKE BABY STEPS BY HIKING BENCHMARK RATES BY JUST 25 BPS INSTEAD IT COULD BITE THE BULLET AND HIKE RATES BY 50 BPS TO COOL THE SPIRALING INFLATION WHICH HAS VEHEMENTLY HOVERED AT ELEVATED LEVELS FOR A LONG TIME NOW. IT WAS ALL-IN-ALL A ROLLERCOASTER RIDE THROUGHOUT THE WEEK WITH UPS AND DOWNS IN THE MARKETS BUT CLOSED IN A NEGATIVE BIAS AT THE END OF THE WEEK. BREADTH OF THE MARKETS REMAINED VERY WEAK AND CLOSED BELOW THE PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVELS.

TODAY MARKETS WOULD OPEN NEGATIVE WITH RANGE BOUND BUT WOULD CONTINUE TO REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE WITH RESULTS STARTING IN A VERY BEARISH NOTE AND WE MAY SEE STOCK SPECIFIC MOVES AHEAD OF THE WEEK WITH THE RESULTS BUT IF WE WITNESS ANY NEGATIVE NEWS IN THE RESULT FROM THE FRONT END COUNTERS WE MAY SEE ANOTHER GREAT RALLY OF SELL-OFF, CURRENTLY MARKETS ARE AT A STAGE OF PANIC WITH THE INFOSYS BLOW IN THE MARKETS FOLLOWED BY YET AGAIN THE OLD TRIPLE I’S VIZ. IIP NUMBERS, INFLATION AND INTEREST RATES WHICH WOULD CONTINUE TO PRESSURIZE THE MARKETS IN THE WEEK AHEAD WITH INVESTORS WOULD RESORT TO BROAD BASED PROFIT BOOKING WITH IIP NUMBERS AND INFLATION FIGURES. IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5796 THEN LIKELY TO DIP DOWN TO 5750 LEVELS AND ANY BREAK BELOW THIS POINT WOULD DRAG NIFTY TO FURTHER LOWS AND WEAKEN THE IMMEDIATE TREND IN THE MARKET AND WOULD DRAG NIFTY TO LEVELS MUCH BELOW 5660 LEVELS. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF MARKETS TRADE ABOVE 5860 LEVELS ONLY THEN ONE CAN LOOK AT OPENING A LONG POSITION ON THE INTRADAY TERMS AND IF IT MOVES ABOVE 5860 LEVELS THEN LIKELY TO MAKE ITS JOURNEY TO 5890 AND BREAK ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5920 LEVELS, ONE CAN RETAIN LONGS IF NIFTY TRADES CLOSES ABOVE 5900 LEVELS AND ON THE NEGATIVE SIDE IF NIFTY CLOSES BELOW 5785 LEVELS THEN ONE CAN SEE NIFTY TO SLIDE DOWN FURTHER AND ONE CAN HOLD THE POSITIONS OVERNIGHT.

BUY HEROHONDA SL 1824 TGT 1845/1863/1890

BUY UFLEX SL 183 TGT 190/195/199

BUY FEDERAL BANK SL 443 TGT 450/454/457

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 15 APRIL 2011

GOOD MORNING!!!

MARKETS OPENED ON A WEAK NOTE AS LEADS REMAINED SUBDUED FROM THE ASIAN MARKETS WHERE MOST INDICES TRADED BELOW THE NEUTRAL LINE TRACKING DISCOURAGING CUES FROM THE OVERNIGHT US MARKETS WHICH PLUNGED ON THE BACK OF RISING CONCERNS OVER JAPANESE NUCLEAR CATASTROPHE AND ALSO BECAUSE OF THE UNANTICIPATED DROP IN US EXPORTS. SELLING PRESSURE IMMEDIATELY GOT ARRESTED AFTER THE WEAK START AS INVESTORS OPTED TO PILE UP POSITIONS IN THE BEATEN DOWN RATE SENSITIVE AND CAPITAL GOODS COUNTERS. HOWEVER, BUYING GATHERED GREATER MOMENTUM IN RATE SENSITIVE COUNTERS LIKE AUTO AND BANKING AND IT COMPANIES ALONG WITH OTHER BLUE CHIP STOCKS IN THE SECOND HALF OF TRADE AND THE INDICES SAILED BEYOND VARIOUS PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVELS ON THE UPSIDE. EVENTUALLY, THE UPWARD JOURNEY HALTED AROUND THE HIGH POINT OF THE DAY ABOVE THE CRUCIAL 5,900 LEVELS. MARKETS REGISTERED STRONG VOLUMES ALONG WITH THE BREADTH WHICH REMAINED HIGHLY OPTIMISTIC TODAY MARKETS WOULD OPEN SLIGHTLY NEGATIVE AND TRADE RANGE BOUND. IF NIFTY TRADES 5920 THEN LIKELY TO MAKE ITS DOWNWARD JOURNEY TO 5874 LEVELS AND BREAK BELOW THIS POINT WOULD DRAG NIFTY FURTHER DOWNSIDE TO 5830 LEVELS AND ANY BREAK WOULD TAKE DOWN TO 5800 AND ANY BREAK BELOW 5800 ONE CAN RETAIN SHORTS FOR THE NIFTY TO SLIDE FURTHER IN THE NEXT FEW SESSIONS. ON THE POSITIVE SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5950 LEVELS LIKELY TO MAKE ITS JOURNEY TOWARDS 6000 LEVELS AND BREAK AND TRADE ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 6043 LEVELS AND THEN TO 6070 LEVELS AND ANY CLOSE ABOVE 6000 LEVELS WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 6122 LEVELS.

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 13 APRIL 2011

GOOD MORNING!!!

MARKETS STARTED THE DAY ON A WEAK NOTE TRACKING SUBDUED LEADS FROM THE ASIAN MARKETS MOST MARKETS HAVE COME OFF THE DAY’S HIGH LEVEL ON THE BACK OF PROFIT BOOKING AHEAD OF THE QUARTERLY CORPORATE EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENTS. AFTER THE WEAK START SELLING PRESSURE GATHERED GREATER FORCE AFTER GOVERNMENT RELEASED WEAKER THAN EXPECTED FEBRUARY IIP NUMBERS WHICH GREW AT A TEPID PACE OF 3.6%, TRIGGERING HEAVY SELL-OFF IN CAPITAL GOODS COUNTER. WHILE THE MARGINAL WILT IN INTERNATIONAL CRUDE OIL PRICES WHICH SPIRALED AT UNCOMFORTABLE LEVELS TOO FAILED TO ENTHUSE THE LOCAL MOOD AS PROSPECT OF LONG-TERM SUPPLY CUTS IN CRUDE OIL UNDERMINED SENTIMENTS. INVESTORS AND TRADERS FEARED THAT RISING OIL PRICES WOULD LEAD TO HEIGHTENED INFLATIONARY PRESSURE WHICH IN TURN WILL COMPEL THE RBI TO TAKE STERN POLICY ACTIONS IN ITS ANNUAL MONETARY POLICY REVIEW MEET NEXT MONTH. THE FRONTLINE INDICES FAILED TO SHOW ANY KIND OF RESILIENCE THEREAFTER AND TRADED NEGATIVE. THE MARKETS SAW POSITION SQUARING THROUGH THE DAY AND EVENTUALLY FINISHED THE DAY’S TRADE AROUND THE DAY’S LOW LEVEL. MARKET BREADTH REMAINED NEGATIVE.

TODAY MARKETS WOULD OPEN NEGATIVE AND CONTINUE TO TRADE ON THE NEGATIVE BIAS. IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5800 THEN LIKELY TO COME DOWN TO 5775 AND THEN TO 5750 LEVELS AND ANY BREACH BELOW 5750 WOULD DRAG NIFTY DOWN TO 5695 LEVELS. ONE HAS TO BE CAREFUL AT 5700 LEVELS AS NIFTY LIKELY TO TAKE SUPPORT AROUND THIS LEVELS BUT IF NIFTY CLOSES BELOW THIS POINT THEN WE CAN SEE NIFTY TO COME DOWN TO 5676 LEVELS. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5811 THEN LIKELY TO MOVE UP TO 5848 LEVELS AND IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5850 THEN THE ENTIRE DYNAMICS OF THE MARKETS CHANGE AND WILL TURN POSITIVE. IF NIFTY CLOSES ABOVE 5850 ONE CAN RETAIN LONGS FOR THE NEXT DAY.

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 11 APRIL 2011

GOOD MORNING!!!

MARKETS STARTED THE DAY ON A FLAT NOTE AFTER THREE CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF CONSOLIDATION, SENSE OF WEAKNESS FINALLY GOT TRICKLED IN TO THE LOCAL MARKETS WITH REAL SIGNS OF PROFIT BOOKING EMERGING ON THE LAST TRADING DAY OF THE WEEK. INVESTORS OVERLOOKED THURSDAY'S 7.1 MAGNITUDE AFTERSHOCK IN JAPAN AS THEY EXPECTED THAT DAMAGE DUE TO THE NATURAL CALAMITY WOULD BE LESS THAN INITIALLY FEARED. THE MARKETS TRADED IN THE GREEN ZONE FOR A BRIEF PERIOD AND DRIFTED INTO THE NEGATIVE TERRITORY SOONER THAN LATER AS THE INDICES MET WITH SEVERE RESISTANCE AT PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVELS. THE BOURSES MADE A DESPERATE ATTEMPT TO RISE ABOVE THE NEUTRAL LINE IN THE NOON TRADES BUT FAILED MISERABLY AS THEY WENT AHEAD TO MAKE FRESH INTRADAY LOW LEVELS IN THE LATE HOURS. SELLING PRESSURE IN HEAVYWEIGHTS GATHERED FORCE AFTER BRENT CURDE PRICES SURGED ABOVE $124 PER BARREL LEVEL, ADDING OVER A PERCENT POINT IN THE SESSION, ON REPORTS THAT FIERCE FIGHTING IN LIBYA DAMAGED THE COUNTRY'S LARGEST OIL FIELD EMERGED. THE REPORTS BUTTRESSED INTERNATIONAL OIL PRICES WHICH LED TO POSITION SQUARING ACROSS THE BOARD AS PROSPECT OF LONG-TERM SUPPLY CUTS IN CRUDE OIL UNDERMINED LOCAL MOOD AS INDIA IS DEPENDENT ON IMPORTS OF OIL TO THE EXTENT OF AROUND 80%. BOURSES FEARED THAT RISING OIL PRICES WOULD LEAD TO HEIGHTENED INFLATIONARY PRESSURE WHICH IN TURN WILL COMPEL THE RBI TO TAKE POLICY ACTIONS IN ITS ANNUAL MONETARY POLICY REVIEW MEET NEXT MONTH. HOWEVER, LATE SHORT COVERING BY INVESTORS HELPED THE BENCHMARKS TO CLAW BACK TO SOME EXTENT AFTER TOUCHING THE LOW POINT OF THE DAY TO EVENTUALLY SNAP YET ANOTHER SESSION IN THE RED TERRAIN. MARKET BREADTH TURNED NEGATIVE.

TODAY MARKETS WOULD OPEN NEGATIVE AND CONTINUE TO REMAIN ON THE NEGATIVE TERRITORY AND MAY WEAKEN ON THE CONCERNS OF OIL PRICES AS THEY ARE INCHING HIGHER AND HIGHER WHICH WILL PUT LOT OF PRESSURE ON THE INFLATION WHICH WILL IN TURN PAVE WAY TO THE REVIEW IN MONETARY POLICY, MARKETS MAY TAKE A CONSERVATIVE STAND FROM HERE ON AS THE INFLATION PRESSURE WILL HAUNT THE STREETS VERY BADLY FROM HERE ON TILL THE TIME CRUDE DOESN’T COOL. IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5872 ONE CAN STAY SHORT AND FOR A TARGET OF 5827 AND BREAK BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD DRAG NIFTY DOWN TO 5800 AND BREACH BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD DRIFT DOWN TO 5765 LEVELS. ON THE POSITIVE SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5885 THEN ONE CAN INITIATE LONGS FOR A TARGET OF 5908 AND THEN TO 5921 AND 5944 WHICH IS REMOTE FOR TIME BEING. STAY CAUTIOUS IN THE MARKETS FOR TAKING LONG POSITIONS AS THIS IS NOT THE IDEAL TIME TO DO SO, WE MAY SEE ONLY STOCK SPECIFIC ACTIVITY ON THE UP MOVE ONLY ON THE BASIS OF RESULTS. IIP NUMBERS MAY CHANGE THE DIRECTION AT ONE STAGE BUT MAY NOT HOLD TO THE MAXIMUM, IIP NUMBERS EXPECTED TO BE POSITIVE FOR THE STREET.

BUY ESSAR OIL SL 138 TGT 143/145/149

BUY SUZLON ABOVE 55.30 SL 55 TGT 56.30/57/58

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 08 APRIL 2011

GOOD MORNING!!!

INDICIES OPENED ON A FLAT NOTE TRACKING LEADS FROM ASIAN INDICES WHICH WERE TRADING MIXED AS INVESTORS REMAINED ON SIDELINES SEEING THE MODEST RISE IN THE WALL STREET AS CONCERNS OVER SPIRALING CRUDE OIL PRICES WHICH TRIGGERED HIGHER. INDICES CONTINUED TO TRADE ON A SOMBER NOTE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF BUT MADE A DESPERATE ATTEMPT TO RISE ABOVE THE NEUTRAL LINE IN AFTERNOON SESSION TRACKING THE POSITIVE OPENING OF THE EUROPEAN PEERS. HOWEVER, THE INDICES SOON DRIFTED INTO THE RED ZONE AFTER TOUCHING THE HIGHPOINT OF THE DAY IN THE MID AFTERNOON SESSION AS CAUTIOUS INVESTORS CHOSE TO BOOK PROFITS AT HIGHER LEVELS. FINALLY, THE BOURSES FAILED TO KEEP THEIR HEAD ABOVE THE WATER FOR YET ANOTHER SESSION AND SETTLED WITH MARGINAL LOSSES BELOW THE PSYCHOLOGICAL 5,900. THOUGH THE BREADTH OF THE MARKETS WERE EXTREMELY POSITIVE THE VOLUMES WERE ON LOWEST IN THE LAST FEW MONTHS.

TODAY MARKETS WOULD OPEN FLAT AND REMAIN IN A NARROW RANGE. WE MAY SEE NIFTY TO REMIAN VERY VOLATILE AND RANGE BOUND AND IF THERE IS ANY FURTHER SURGE IN THE OIL PRICES AND ANY REVIVAL IN CREDIT POLICY BY RBI THEN WE MAY WITNESS SOME SELLING ALONG WITH SOME PROFIT BOOKING IN THIS FAST RALLY. EVEN WITH NEWS LILKE SURGING OIL PRICES AND OTHERS MAY NOT PUT INDICES IN A DEEP TROUBLE AS WE HAVE BEEN NOTICING THAT CONSISTENT FOREIGN FUND INFLOW, SECOND CONSECUTIVE DROP IN INDIA’S WEEKLY FOOD INFLATION NUMBERS AND EXPECTATIONS OF UPBEAT QUARTERLY EARNINGS PERFORMANCES BY HEAVYWEIGHTS COMPANIES IN FOURTH QUARTER LIMITED THE DOWNSIDE RISKS FOR THE FRONTLINE INDICES TO THE MAXIMUM EXTENT. IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5898 THEN LIKELY TO COME DOWN TO 5886 AND THEN TO 5867 AND ANY FURHTER BREACH BELOW THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5850 LEVELS, IF NIFTY CLOSES BELOW 5867 THEN ONE CAN RETAIN SHORTS OVER NIGHT. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5918 LEVELS THEN LIKELY TO MAKE AN UPMOVE TO 5936 AND THEN TO 5950 LEVELS ONE HAS TO STAY CAUTIOUS ON THE UPSIDE FOR TIME BEING THOUGH WE MAY WITNESS STOCK SPECIFIC MOVES TO TAKE PLACE. FERTILIZERS LOOK GOOD.

BUY MIC SL 27.60 TGT 29.25/30/30.75

POSITIONAL TRADES

BUY CHAMBALFERT TGT 100

BUY UNITECH TGT 65

BUY GMR INFRA TGT 55

BUY ABAN TGT 850

BUY BIOCON TGT 450

BUY BATA (I) TGT 550

BUY JP POWER TGT 65

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 07 APRIL 2011

GOOD MORNING!!!

INDICES STARTED THE DAY ON AN ABSOLUTELY FLAT NOTE SINCE LEADS FROM THE ASIAN MARKETS WERE MIXED AS INVESTORS REMAINED CAUTIOUS ON THE BACK OF UNENTHUSIASTIC CLOSING IN OVERNIGHT WALL STREET, WHERE FED OFFICIALS RAISED CONCERNS THAT HIGHER ENERGY PRICES COULD WEAKEN THE ECONOMY. THE INDICES AFTER TRADING ABOVE NEUTRAL LINE FOR AROUND AN HOUR DRIFTED IN TO THE RED AND SOON GOT DRAGGED TO INTRADAY LOW LEVELS. THEREAFTER THE INDICES MANAGED TO BOUNCE BACK INTO THE GREEN TERRAIN FOR A BRIEF PERIOD IN THE EARLY NOON SESSION AS HEFTY BUYING WAS WITNESSED IN REALTY AND CONSUMER DURABLE STOCKS. HOWEVER, THE RECOVERY PROVED TO BE SHORT LIVED AND IMMEDIATELY SLIPPED BACK INTO THE RED ONLY TO KEEP GYRATING IN A NARROW BAND THROUGH THE END OF TRADE. EVENTUALLY THE FRONTLINE INDICES CONSOLIDATED THEIR POSITIONS FOR YET ANOTHER DAY AND SETTLED AROUND WITH MODERATE LOSSES BELOW PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVELS. THOUGH MARKETS CLOSED NEGATIVE THE BREADTH REMAINED POSITIVE FOR THE MARKET.

TODAY NIFTY WOULD OPEN FLAT AND RANGE BOUND. IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5900 THEN LIKELY TO COME DOWN TO 5865 LEVELS AND BREAK BELOW THIS POINT WOULD SLIDE NIFTY DOWN TO 5825 LEVELS AND ANY BREAK AND CLOSE BELOW THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY DOWN TO 5744 LEVELS. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5936 THEN LIKELY TO MOVE UP TO 5975 AND ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 6000 WHERE IT WOULD FACE A TOUGH RESISTANCE. IF NIFTY CLOSES BELOW 5865 THEN ONE CAN CARRY SHORT POSITIONS TO THE NEXT DAY. STAY CAUTIOUS ON THE UPSIDE FOR TIME BEING AS THERE IS EVERY POSSIBILITY FOR THE MARKETS TO RETRACE AS THERE IS GOOD AMOUNT OF UPSIDE SEEN IN THE LAST 10 TRADING SESSIONS.

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 06 APRIL 2011

GOOD MORNING!!!

INDICES GOT OFF TO A POSITIVE START AS INVESTORS REMAINED OPTIMISTIC AMID EXPECTATIONS OF ENCOURAGING FOURTH QUARTER EARNINGS BY CORPORATE. HOWEVER, THE INDICES SLIPPED INTO THE RED TERRAIN AS INVESTORS REMAINED CAUTIOUS RIGHT FROM THE INITIAL HOURS OF TRADE AS LEADS FROM ACROSS THE WORLD REMAINED SUBDUED BECAUSE OF ESCALATING PRICES OF INTERNATIONAL CRUDE WHICH ARE HOVERING AROUND THE HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE 2008 ON THE BACK OF GEOPOLITICAL RISKS TO SUPPLIES AND ON EXPECTATIONS OF IMPROVING ECONOMIC GROWTH. THE INDICES MOVED ONLY SIDEWAYS IN A TIGHT RANGE TILL MID MORNING SESSION BUT DRIFTED TO INTRADAY LOWS IN THE INITIAL MOMENTS OF THE SECOND HALF. HOWEVER, A SUDDEN REVIVAL IN METALS AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY WAS WITNESSED THEREAFTER AS INVESTORS COVERED THEIR SHORT POSITIONS IN THE DYING HOURS OF TRADE TO EVENTUALLY RECOVER MOST OF THE LOST GROUND AND SETTLE AROUND THE CRUCIAL SUPPORT LEVELS. THE BREADTH STILL REMAINS POSITIVE IN THE MARKET.

TODAY MARKETS WOULD OPEN FLAT AND WOULD TRADE IN A NARROW RANGE UNTIL THE LEVELS IN NIFTY ARE BROKEN ON THE UPPER OR THE LOWER BAND. IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5925 THEN LIKELY TO TRADE DOWN TO 5897 LEVELS AND THEN TRADE BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD DRIFT DOWN TO 5865 AND THEN TO 5810 LEVELS. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5946 THEN LIKELY TO MAKE ITS JOURNEY TOWARDS 5974 AND THEN TO 6000 LEVELS BREAK AND TRADE ABOVE 6000 WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 6050 LEVELS. ONE NEEDS TO REMAIN CAUTIOUS FROM THE CURRENT LEVELS WHERE NIFTY IS TRADING. WE MAY SEE EXTREMELY STOCK SPECIFIC MOVES TO SECTOR SPECIFIC MOVES AND WE MAY TRADE IN NARROW RANGES IN NIFTY AS WELL AS STOCKS. NEXT MARKETS DRIVER WOULD BE RESULTS KEEP A VIGIL ON THEM.

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 05 APRIL 2011

GOOD MORNING!!!

INDICES GOT OFF TO A STEADY START IN THE MORNING TRADE TRACKING LEADS FROM ASIAN MARKETS WHICH TRADED WITH CONVICTION AS SENTIMENTS TOOK SUPPORT FROM WALL STREET WHICH CLOSED HIGHER ON FRIDAY. INDICES PARED SOME OF ITS INITIAL GAINS IN THE MID-MORNING SESSION WHERE IT TOUCHED INTRADAY LOW LEVELS. HOWEVER, A SUDDEN REVIVAL WAS WITNESSED THEREAFTER AS STOCKS OF AUTO AND IT COMPANIES WITNESSED HUGE BUYING INTEREST WHICH EVENTUALLY TOOK INDICES TO NEW HIGHS, THOUGH THERE WAS GOOD AMOUNT OF PRICE HIKES SEEN IN STOCKS THERE IS A POINT OF CONCERN WHICH IS NOT REALLY GOOD FOR THE MARKETS THEY ARE VOLUMES, VOLUMES WERE VERY LOW THOUGH THE BREADTH OF THE MARKET IS STRONG WHICH IS A CLEAR INDICATION OF UNDERTONE OF MARKETS TO BE STILL SKEPTICAL, AS THE RECORDED VOLUMES IN THE LAST DAY IS AGAIN ONE OF THE LOWEST VOLUME DAY.

TODAY IF MARKETS OPEN ABOVE 5950 THEN LIKELY TO MOVE UP TO 5974 LEVELS AND ANY BREAK ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 6000 LEVELS AND ANY BREAK ABOVE 6000 WOULD TAKE MARKETS TO 6041 LEVELS. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5935 LEVELS THEN WOULD SLIDE DOWN TO 5911 AND THEN TO 5887 LEVELS AND ANY BREAK BELOW THIS POINT WOULD FURTHER SLIDE DOWN NIFTY TO 5843 LEVELS ANY CLOSE BELOW 5870 LEVELS WOULD WEAKEN THE MARKETS IN THE DAY AHEAD. THOUGH WE MAY SEE MARKETS MOVE IN THE INITIAL TRADES BUT MAY NOT WITHSTAND TO A GREAT EXTENT AS THERE IS EVERY POSSIBILITY THAT MARKETS MAY TAKE U-TURN FROM HERE ON EVEN THOUGH THERE WOULD BE A POSITIVE BUYING INITIALLY WE MAY DEFINITELY SEE SOME AMOUNT OF CONSOLIDATION FROM HERE ON. MARKETS ARE IGNORING FEW VERY IMPORTANT THINGS WHICH IS NOT REALLY GOOD IN THE DAYS TO COME FIRSTLY, 2G SCAM WHICH REALLY DIDN’T PUT ANY PRESSURE ON THE TELECOM STOCKS YET. SECONDLY, MARKETS ARE NOT REALLY BOTHERING THE CRUDE PRICE SURGING WITH TURBULENCE AT THE MIDDLE EAST COUNTRIES THE SURGING OIL PRICES WOULD DEFINITELY POSE A GREATER IMPACT ALL OF A SUDDEN WHICH WILL LEAD MARKETS TO COME DOWN. THIRDLY, THE GAINS IN THE MARKETS WERE WITH LOW VOLUMES AND THAT TOO A RISE OF AROUND 12% IN THE INDEX WHICH IS NOT A HEALTHY SIGN FOR THE MARKETS IN THE DAYS AHEAD.

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 04 APRIL 2011

I JOIN THE VOICE OF EVERY INDIAN TO CONGRATULATE OUR INDIAN TEAM PLAYERS WHO MADE EVERY INDIAN PROUD BY WINNING THE HISTORIC EVENT.

GOOD MORNING!!!

INDICES STARTED THE TRADE WITH A SOFT START IN THE MORNING TRADE TRACKING LEADS FROM ASIAN MARKETS WHICH TRADED WITH MODERATE GAINS BECAUSE OF TEPID LEADS FROM OVERNIGHT US MARKETS WHICH CLOSED MIXED AFTER POSITIVE US ECONOMIC DATA GOT OFFSET BY THE SURGE IN CRUDE PRICES TO 30 MONTHS HIGH LEVELS AMID LINGERING TURBULENCES IN THE MIDDLE EAST NATIONS. THE INDICES SOON SLIPPED IN THE RED TERRAIN AND KEPT GYRATING AROUND THE NEUTRAL LINE THROUGH THE DAY’S TRADE, AS BULLS RAN OUT OF STEAM AFTER EIGHT-DAY LONG WINNING STREAK. THE INDICES HIT THE LOW POINT OF THE DAY IN THE DYING HOURS OF TRADE POST WHICH SOME SHORT COVERING IN REALTY, AUTO AND CEMENT STOCKS HELPED THE INDICES TO EVENTUALLY CLOSE THE LAST TRADING DAY OF THE WEEK JUST BELOW PREVIOUS CLOSING LEVELS. THOUGH THERE WERE VERY LOW VOLUMES IN THE MARKETS THE BREADTH REMAINED EXTREMELY POSITIVE.

TODAY MARKETS WOULD OPEN FLAT TO POSITIVE AND REMAIN IN A NARROW RANGE FOR SOMETIME. IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5874 THEN LIKELY TO MOVE UP TO 5886 AND BREAK ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5900 LEVELS AND ANY BREAK ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO NEW HEIGHTS. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5850 THEN LIKELY TO COME DOWN TO 5835 AND THEN TO 5816 LEVELS AND BREAK BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD WEAKEN THE NIFTY AND BREAK BELOW 5800 WOULD MAKE THE UNDERTONE NEGATIVE IN THE MARKETS. THE PRIME FOCUS WOULD BE THE CRUDE, SOARING IN CRUDE PRICES WOULD DEFINITELY PUT THE INDICES UNDER HUGE PRESSURE IN THE DAY AHEAD.

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 01 APRIL 2011

GOOD MORNING!!!

INDICES GOT OFF TO A STEADY START IN THE OPENING TRADE TRACKING OPTIMISTIC LEADS FROM OVERNIGHT WALL STREET WHICH CLOSED HIGHER LED BY GOOD JOBS DATA AND RALLY. INDICES GRADUALLY KEPT GATHERING MOMENTUM AND TOUCHED INTRADAY HIGHS AND THEN CAME HEFTY PROFIT BOOKING IN BANKING, AUTO AND REALTY WHICH DRAGGED THE INDICES EVEN BELOW THE NEUTRAL LINE THAT TOO JUST HALF AN HOUR BEFORE THE CLOSING BELL. BUT WHAT FOLLOWED IN THE FINAL MOMENTS OF TRADE WAS AN UNEXPECTED SHORT COVERING RALLY THAT HELPED THE BOURSES CONVALESCE MOST OF THE LOSSES AND SNAP EIGHTH STRAIGHT SESSION IN THE POSITIVE TERRAIN SETTLING A TAD BELOW THE PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVELS OF 5,850. THOUGH MARKETS WERE UP, THE MARKET BREADTH TURNED NEGATIVE BY THE END. IT WAS ALL IN ALL A ROLLERCOASTER RIDE ON THE SETTLEMENT DAY OF MARCH SERIES FUTURES AND OPTIONS CONTRACTS AS SENTIMENTS TURNED HIGHLY VOLATILE IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE SESSION.

TODAY NIFTY WOULD OPEN POSITIVE AND IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5871 WOULD MOVE UP TO 5911 LEVELS AND ANY TRADE ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE FURTHER UPSIDE TO 5951 BUT WOULD EMPHASIZE THAT MARKETS ARE ON OVER BOUGHT REGION AND WOULD REVERSE THE TREND AT ANY GIVEN POINT SO IT IS WISE TO STAY AWAY FROM LONGS. IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5840 LEVELS WOULD TAKE NIFTY DOWN TO 5800 AND THEN TO 5760 LEVELS AND ANY FURTHER DOWNSIDE WOULD WEAKEN THE ENTIRE BREADTH OF THE MARKETS. AS OIL IS SURGING IT IS WISE TO STAY AWAY FROM THE MARKETS TO LARGE EXTENT. WOULD SUGGEST TO STAY CAUTIOUS.