Friday, November 20, 2009

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 20 NOVEMBER 2009

GOOD MORNING!!!
VOLATILITY RULED THE ROOST AS STOCKS LOST GROUND WITH THE SENTIMENT HIT BY BRAZIL'S LATEST MOVE TO CURB CAPITAL INFLOWS. DECLINE IN EUROPEAN SHARES AND LOWER US INDEX FUTURES ALSO WEIGHED ON SENTIMENT. METAL, AUTO, BANKING, REALTY AND IT STOCKS DECLINED. THE MARKET BREADTH WAS WEAK IN CONTRAST TO A STRONG BREADTH IN EARLY TRADE. INTRADAY VOLATILITY ON THE BOURSES WAS HIGH. THE MARKET RECOVERED FROM LOWER LEVEL IN MORNING TRADE HOWEVER, THE INTRADAY REBOUND PROVED SHORT-LIVED. THE MARKET CUT LOSSES AFTER HITTING A FRESH INTRADAY LOW IN LATE TRADE. EQUITIES MAY REMAIN VOLATILE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS TRADERS ROLLOVER POSITIONS IN THE DERIVATIVE SEGMENT FROM NOVEMBER 2009 SERIES TO DECEMBER 2009 SERIES AHEAD OF THE EXPIRY. THE MARKET SENTIMENT WAS HURT BY BRAZIL'S LATEST MOVE TO CURB CAPITAL INFLOWS. BRAZIL TOOK ANOTHER STEP ON WEDNESDAY TO TRY TO CONTAIN THE APPRECIATION OF ITS CURRENCY, UNVEILING A 1.5% TAX ON CERTAIN TRADES INVOLVING AMERICAN DEPOSITARY RECEIPTS ISSUED BY BRAZILIAN COMPANIES. THE BRAZILIAN GOVERNMENT, LAST MONTH, IMPLEMENTED A 2% FINANCIAL TAX ON FOREIGN INFLOWS INTO STOCKS AND FIXED INCOME INVESTMENTS. AMONG OTHER OVERSEAS MARKETS, SOUTH KOREA ANNOUNCED MEASURES ON THURSDAY AIMED TO TIGHTENING CONTROLS OVER CURRENCY LIQUIDITY TO MAKE THE BANKING SYSTEM LESS VULNERABLE TO THE CAPITAL FLIGHT. THE FINANCIAL SERVICES COMMISSION SAID IT WILL LIMIT THE SIZE OF FORWARD FOREIGN EXCHANGE TRANSACTIONS THAT SOUTH KOREAN COMPANIES CAN ENTER INTO, TO A TOTAL VALUE OF NOT MORE THAN 125% OF THE UNDERLYING TRANSACTIONS THEY ARE HEDGING AGAINST, WHICH COULD MEAN LESS-THAN-EXPECTED SELLING OF DOLLAR-FORWARDS BY EXPORTERS IN THE FUTURE. TAIWAN HAS ALREADY BANNED FOREIGNERS FROM INVESTING IN TIME DEPOSITS. EARLIER, A NEWSPAPER REPORT SUGGESTED THAT THE GOVERNMENT IS TAKING ITS FIRST SIGNIFICANT STEP TO WARD OFF A SURGE IN FOREIGN CAPITAL INFLOWS THAT MAY THREATEN THE STABILITY OF THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM BY DRAWING UP NEW RULES THAT WILL MAKE OVERSEAS LOANS COSTLIER FOR COMPANIES. INDIAN STOCKS HAVE RISEN SHARPLY THIS YEAR ON ROBUST INFLOW FROM FOREIGN FUNDS. REPORTS HAD SUGGESTED THAT THE GOVERNMENT WAS CONSIDERING AUCTIONING OF CORPORATE ENTITLEMENTS TO BORROW ABROAD, A MOVE THAT COULD MAKE SUCH BORROWING COSTLIER. A GLOBAL GLUT OF LIQUIDITY HAS PUSHED UP STOCK MARKETS ACROSS THE GLOBE SINCE MARCH THIS YEAR. GOVERNMENTS AND CENTRAL BANKS AROUND THE WORLD HAVE INJECTED TRILLIONS OF DOLLARS IN THE PAST ONE YEAR OR SO TO PULL THE WORLD OUT OF A MOST SEVERE RECESSION SINCE THE 1930S GREAT DEPRESSION.
TODAY MARKET WOULD BE NEGATIVELY BIASED ALONG WITH ALL MAJOR GLOBAL INDICES STARTED GETTING WEAKER, OUR INDICES ARE ALSO PRONE AND WILL SUCCUMB TO FALLING PRESSURE ALONG WITH GLOBAL INDICES, IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 4990 THEN WE CAN SEE NIFTY TO SLIDE DOWN TO 4937 AND BREAK BELOW THIS WOULD LEAD NIFTY TO 4909 IF NIFTY BREACHES 4900 THEN IT MAY TAKE SUPPORT AT 4780. AND ON THE UPSIDE IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5007 THEN WE CAN EXPECT NIFTY TO TOUCH 5053 AND ABOVE THAT LEVEL IT MAY GO TO 5076. MARKET IS NEGATIVELY BIASED AND ONE CAN STAY SHORT, POSITIONAL TRADES CAN TAKE SHORT POSITIONS WITH A STOPLOSS OF 5068. WE MAY SEE LOT OF VOLATALITY IN THE COMING DAYS SO DON’T TRADE WITH SMALL STOPLOSSES AS THEY MAY HIT VERY FAST KEEP LITTLE BIGGER STOPLOSS AND KEEP BOOKING PROIFTS AT REGULAR INTERVALS.

STOCKS IN NEGATIVE ZONE : CHAMBAL FERTILIZERS, ADLABS, ALLAHABAD BANK, IDBI, INDIANBANK, IOB, KOTAK BANK, M&M, NAGARJUNA CONSTRUCTION, PNB, RELINFRA, RCOM, STER, TATA CHEMICALS, SYNDICATE BANK, TRIVENI, UNION BANK, UNIPHOS, VOLTAS, ZEE, MOSER BAER, PUNJLLOYD, PRAJ IND, UNITECH, JP, ROLTA, RENUKA, PTC, ICSA, FSL, OPTOCIRCUITS, NOIDA, INDIA INFO
SELL BAJAJ HINDUSTAN SL 210 TGT 204/200/196
SELL CENTURY TEXTILES SL 481 TGT 470/462
SELL DLF SL 371 TGT 361/355
SELL ESSAR OIL SL 136.1 TGT 132.6/130.1
SELL HDFC BANK SL 1731 TGT 1706/1691/1661
SELL ICICIBANK SL 892 TGT 870/861/850
SELL AXIS SL 1001 TGT 978/971/954
SELL LICHSG FUTURES SL 862 TGT 823/806
SELL SIEMENS SL 559 TGT 546/537/526