Thursday, April 28, 2011

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 28 APRIL 2011

GOOD MORNING!!!






INDICES GOT OFF TO A POSITIVE OPENING TRACKING POSITIVE LEADS FROM THE ASIAN MARKETS, UNDERPINNED BY OVERNIGHT WALL STREET RALLY, SUPPORTED BY GOOD EARNINGS NUMBER AND BETTER THAN EXPECTED US CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DATA. THE FRONTLINE INDICES TRIED HARD TO KEEP THEIR HEAD ABOVE THE WATER BUT CONSTANT DISAPPOINTING RESULT ANNOUNCEMENTS BY MAJOR COMPANIES WEIGHED DOWN SENTIMENTS. THE INDICES DRIFTED DEEPER INTO THE RED TERRAIN AS POSITION SQUARING IN REALTY AND BANKING STOCKS INTENSIFIED IN THE AFTERNOON TRADE. THE PERSISTENT WEAKNESS ON HEAVYWEIGHT COUNTERS SUCH AS RELIANCE INDUSTRIES AND ICICI BANK SOON DRAGGED THE MARKETS TO INTRADAY LOW LEVELS AND ALL ATTEMPTS TO PULL BACK FROM THOSE LEVELS WENT IN VAIN. THE BOURSES EVENTUALLY SNAPPED THE SESSION ON A PESSIMISTIC NOTE AND EXTENDED THE DECLINING STREAK FOR THE THIRD STRAIGHT SESSION. MARKET BREADTH REMAINED NEGATIVE.

TODAY NIFTY WOULD OPEN FLAT AND RANGE BOUND. IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5850 THEN LIKELY TO MOVE UP TO 5882 AND THEN TO 5900 LEVELS AND ANY BREAK ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5918 AND BREAK ABOVE THIS WOULD TAKE FURTHER UPSIDE IN NIFTY. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5830 THEN LIKELY TO TRADE DOWN TO 5800 LEVELS AND ANY BREAK BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD TAKE IT TO 5757 LEVELS, IF NIFTY BREAKS 5700 ON THE DOWNSIDE WE CAN SEE A VERY DEEP DRIFT IN NIFTY AND ON THE UPSIDE IF NIFTY BREAKS 6000 WE CAN SEE A GREAT SURGE. SO ONE SHOULD KEENLY WATCH 5700 AND 6000 BOTH ON DOWSIDE AND UPSIDE



BUY ONGC SL 310 TGT 313.60/315.80/317
BUY EDUCOMP SL 473 TGT 478/482/487
BUY TATA CHEM SL 388 TGT 393/396/402
BUY KAJARIA CERAMICS SL 83.50 TGT 86/88/90

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 27 APRIL 2011



GOOD MORNING!!!




INDICES GOT OFF TO A QUIET START AS INVESTORS REMAINED CAUTIOUS TRACKING ASIAN EQUITIES WHICH WITNESSED HEAVY BOUTS OF PROFIT BOOKING ON THE BACK OF THE MIXED CORPORATE EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENTS ON OVERNIGHT WALL. THE INDICES SLIPPED DEEPER IN TO THE RED ZONE AFTER THE FLAT OPENING, AS ACROSS THE BOARD POSITION SQUARING GATHERED MOMENTUM IN THE MORNING TRADE. HOWEVER, AFTER HITTING INTRADAY LOW LEVELS IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON SESSION THE MARKETS STAGED A SMART RECOVERY AND EVEN WENT ON TO STEAL A LOOK INTO THE GREEN TERRITORY TRACKING POSITIVE TRIGGERS FROM EUROPEAN MARKETS AND BETTER THAN EXPECTED RESULTS FROM THE CEMENT MAJORS AND REBOUND IN TELECOM STOCKS RESULTED IN SENTIMENT TURNAROUND AS INVESTORS COVERED SHORT POSITIONS NOT ONLY IN ACC, ULTRATECH BHARTI AIRTEL AND RCOM BUT ALSO IN BANKING AND AUTO HEAVYWEIGHTS LIKE SBI, ICICI BANK, TATA MOTORS AND BAJAJ AUTO, BUT SLIGHT PROFIT BOOKING IN A FEW BLUE-CHIP STOCKS IN THE DYING MOMENTS LED THE BOURSES TO EVENTUALLY SNAP THE SESSION ON A FLAT NOTE WITH A NEGATIVE BIAS. MARKETS HAVE REGISTERED VERY STRONG VOLUMES ON THE SECOND DAY OF F&O EXPIRY WEEK BUT BREADTH OF THE MARKET STILL REMAINED NEGATIVE.




TODAY MARKETS WOULD OPEN POSITIVE AND RANGE BOUND. IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5900 THEN LIKLEY TO MOVE UP TO 5940 AND BREAK ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 6000 LEVELS AND ANY BREAK ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO MUCH HIGHER LEVELS. AS 6000 LEVELS BEING VERY CRUCIAL ONE CAN LOOK AT SHORTING NIFTY WHEN NIFTY IS JUST BELOW 6000 LEVELS WITH A STOPLOSS OF 6000. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5876 THEN LIKELY TO MAKE ITS JOURNEY DOWNWARDS TO 5833 AND THEN TO 5800 AND ANY BREAK BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5760 LEVELS. SINCE WE ARE IN THE LAST LEGS OF EXPIRY FOR THIS MONTH WE MAY SEE VERY VOLATILE AND CRAZY MOVEMENT IN THS MARKETS. STAY CAUTIOUS.


BUY APIL SL 621 TGT 640/650/670
BUY TRIVENI SL 107.75 TGT 110/112/114
BUY VIKASH METAL & POWER SL 17.60 TGT 18.70/19.30/20.50
BUY UFLEX SL 200 TGT 211/218/228*
BUY VENKYS (I) SL 719 TGT 750/770/800*
BUY JINDAL SAW SL 209 TGT 211.80/213.70/217*

Tuesday, April 26, 2011

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 26 APRIL 2011



GOOD MORNING!!!



INDICES GOT OFF TO A QUIET OPENING AS CAUTIOUS INVESTORS LACKED CONVICTION TO PILE UP POSITIONS LACKING SIGNIFICANT LEADS. BELOW EXPECTATION FIGURES FROM INDEX HEAVY-WEIGHT RELIANCE INDUSTRIES AND AXIS BANK DURING THE WEEKEND DRAGGED THE MARKET IN THE RED INITIALLY HOWEVER; THE BOURSES WENT AHEAD TO TEST THE 5,900 LEVELS WHICH ONCE AGAIN PROVED AS A STIFF RESISTANCE FOR THE INDICES AS THE MARKET GAVE UP SOME GAINS WITH A FEW BLUE-CHIP STOCKS RETREATING ON PROFIT TAKING. THEREAFTER THE INDICES TRADED IN A STIFF RANGE AROUND THE NEUTRAL LINE BUT SOON AFTER SENTIMENTS GOT WEIGHED DOWN IN THE DYING HOURS OF TRADE AS UPDATES FROM THE 2G CASE TRIAL HIT HEADLINES PROMPTING INVESTORS TO BOOK PROFITS IN SCAM LINKED SHARES LIKE RCOM, UNITECH AND DB REALTY, SOME POSITION SQUARING IN THE LATE HOURS EVENTUALLY BROUGHT THE INDICES MARGINALLY BELOW PREVIOUS CLOSE. THOUGH THE VOLUMES WERE VERY LESS THE BREADTH OF THE MARKET REMAINED NEGATIVE.




TODAY NIFTY WOULD OPEN FLAT TO NEGATIVE AND RANGE BOUND, NIFTY TO BE UNDER PRESSURE ON EVERY INCLINE. IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5885 THEN LIKELY TO COME DOWN TO 5857 LEVELS AND BREACH BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD DRAG DOWN NIFTY TO 5840 LEVELS AND FURTHER BREACH OF THIS LEVEL WOULD WEAKEN NIFTY AND HEAD TOWARDS 5800 LEVELS, ONE CAN STAY SHORT IF NIFTY BREACHES 5840 LEVELS AND TRADES AND IF NIFTY CLOSES BELOW 5840 ONE CAN RETAIN SHORTS FOR THE NEXT TRADING DAY. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5930 ONLY THEN ONE IS ADVISED TO GO LONG AND ABOVE 5930 NIFTY LIKELY TO MOVE UP TO 6000 AND MAY FACE TOUGH RESISTANCE OVER THERE AND ONCE IF 6000 LEVELS ARE BROKEN THEN WE CAN SEE NIFTY TO MOVE UP MORE THAN 400 POINTS FROM THERE ON. ONE CAN GO SHORT AT HIGHER LEVELS AS THERE IS EVERY CHANCE OF DECLINE ON THE FOLLOWING REASONS
1. CRUDE SURGING, OIL PRICE LIKELY TO INCREASE PHENOMENALLY
2. RESULTS NOT REALLY VERY GREAT ACROSS MANY OF THE COUNTERS.
3. RBI LIKELY TO INCREASE THE RATES DURING ITS POLICY MEET IN THE FIRST WEEK OF MAY
4. INFLATION LIKELY TO SURGE ON ACCOUNT OF FUEL PRICE INCREASE.
5. POLITICAL ISSUES.
ONE IS ADVISED TO STAY CAUTIOUS ON THE LONGS CONSIDERING THE ABOVE FACTORS.



BUY THOMAS COOK SL 61 TGT 63/64/66
BUY WELSPUN (I) SL 63.50 TGT 66.90/68.70/71.85
BUY TRF SL 626 TGT 666/694/735

Monday, April 25, 2011

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 25 APRIL 2011

GOOD MORNING!!!




ON THURSDAY MARKETS GOT OFF TO A GAP UP OPENING AS IT CARRIED FORWARD THE ENTHUSIASM, AFTER THE SHARP RALLY OF PREVIOUS DAY AS INVESTORS’ MOOD REMAINED UPBEAT FOLLOWING THE RALLY IN ASIAN AND OVERNIGHT WALL STREET, SUPPORTED BY HEFTY GAINS IN TECHNOLOGY COUNTER AND REPORTS OF LARGER THAN PREDICTED RISE IN US EXISTING HOME SALES NUMBERS. AFTER THE FIRM OPENING, THE FRONTLINE INDICES CAPITALIZED ON THE INITIAL MOMENTUM AND WENT ON TO TEST THE RESISTANCE OF 5,900 LEVELS WHICH PROVED AS A STIFF RESISTANCE LEVELS FOR THE INDICES AS THEY ONCE AGAIN FALTERED AFTER INCHING CLOSER TO THOSE LEVELS AS THE MARKET GAVE UP SOME GAINS WITH A FEW BLUE-CHIP STOCKS RETREATING SLIGHTLY ON PROFIT TAKING. THEREAFTER INDICES OSCILLATED IN A NARROW RANGE THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF TRADE AND ENDED ON A POSITIVE NOTE OF AROUND HALF A PERCENT GAINS IN THE INDICES, EVEN THOUGH MARKET BREADTH OF SLIGHTLY NEGATIVE MANAGED TO CLOSE POSITIVE.

TODAY MARKETS WOULD BE RANGE BOUND AND CONTINUE TO BE UNDER PRESSURE, WE CAN WITNESS SOME SELLING TO COME IN ANY TIME DURING THE MARKETS ON EVERY UPSIDE. IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5930 ONE CAN GO LONG AND CONTINUE TO HOLD AS NIFTY LIKELY TO INCH HIGHER, IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5930 THEN WE CAN SEE NIFTY TO MOVE UP TO 5958 LEVELS AND BREAK ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5975 AND THEN TO 6000 LEVELS WOULD ACT AS A TOUGH RESISTANCE, BUT ANY BREAK ANY DAY ABOVE 6000 LEVELS WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 6400 LEVELS IMMEDIATELY IN A VERY SHORT SPAN OF TIME. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5885 ONE CAN SEE NIFTY TO 5850 AND THEN TO 5828 LEVELS , IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5828 THEN WE CAN SEE 5806 TO 5800 BUT IF NIFTY BREAKS THIS LEVELS THEN LIKELY TO COME DOWN TO 5870 LEVELS, BREAK BELOW 5870 LEVELS WE CAN SEE FURTHER WEAKNESS IN NIFTY.

BUY STERLITE INDS SL 178 TGT 180.40/181.40/183
BUY SESAGOA SL 321 TGT 326/330/335
BUY GESHIPPING SL 289 TGT 292.70/295/297.80
BUY RAIN COMMODITIES SL 169 TGT 175/180/184
BUY VST INDS SL 880 TGT 927/959/1000
BUY MRF SL 7396 TGT 7670/7848/8000

NOTE: BUY THE ABOVE RECOMMENDATIONS ONLY IF THEY OPEN POSITIVE

Thursday, April 21, 2011

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 21 APRIL 2011

GOOD MORNING!!!




INDICES GOT OFF TO GOOD START AS SENTIMENTS REMAINED SANGUINE, THANKS TO ENCOURAGING LEADS FROM THE ASIAN AND OVERNIGHT US MARKETS WHICH REBOUNDED ON THE BACK OF BETTER THAN EXPECTED EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENTS BY BLUE-CHIP STOCKS ALONG WITH SOME GOOD US HOME CONSTRUCTION REPORT. THE FRONTLINE INDICES, AFTER THE STRONG OPENING, GYRATED IN A TIGHT RANGE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TRADE. BUT THE INDICES SLIPPED TO THE LOW POINT OF THE DAY AFTER REPORTS OF TRIAL COURT REJECTING BAIL TO 5 ACCUSED IN 2G CASE HIT HEADLINES. HOWEVER, AFTER SOME JITTERS, THE BENCHMARKS STABILIZED AND JUMPED BACK WITH GREATER CONVICTION. THOUGH MARKETS JUMPED UP BY 2% THE BREADTH OF THE MARKET REMAINED WEAK

TODAY MARKETS WOULD OPEN POSITIVE AND MAY WOULD REMAIN ON THE POSITIVE SIDE ONLY IF RELIANCE AND TATA MOTORS COME OUT WITH A DECENT SET OF NUMBERS ELSE MARKETS WOULD COME DOWN. STAY CAUTIOUS AT HIGHER LEVELS AROUND 5900 LEVELS. IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5875 THEN LIKELY TO MOVE UP TO 5901 AND THEN TO 5933 LEVELS, AND ANY BREAK ABOVE 5933 MAY HAVE A SLIGHT RESISTANCE AROUND 5950 BUT ONCE THIS IS BREACHED WE MAY HEAD TO 6000 LEVELS. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5864 LEVELS THEN LIKELY TO MAKE ITS WAY DOWN TO 5827 AND THEN TO 5774 LEVELS AND ANY TRADE BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD DRAG NIFTY TO 5705 LEVELS. BE CAUTIOUS IN THE MARKETS AS CRUDE IS INCHING HIGHER.



BUY TRIVENI ENGG SL 104 TGT 107.75/109.50/111.20
BUY HCL TECH SL 520 TGT 531/536/546
BUY APIL SL 605 TGT 620/633/639
BUY SUBEX SL 79.40 TGT 83/85/89




POSITIONAL TRADES


BUY IBREAL TGT 185

Wednesday, April 20, 2011

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 20 APRIL 2011



GOOD MORNING!!!




INDICES STARTED THE DAY ON A CAUTIOUS NOTE TRACKING THE ASIAN INDICES WHICH CRUMBLED IN THE MORNING TRADE, FOLLOWING THE OVERNIGHT PLUNGE ON WALL STREET AFTER S&P RAISED CONCERN ABOUT US’ DEBTS AND AFTER S&P’S WARNING TO DOWNGRADE US CREDIT RATING FROM AAA AND REVISION IN ITS CREDIT OUTLOOK TO NEGATIVE. INDICES WENT THROUGH AN EXTREMELY UNSTABLE SESSION OF TRADE, THE FRONT LINE STOCKS LACKED CONVICTION RIGHT FROM THE INITIAL MOMENTS OF TRADE AND WENT AHEAD TO HIT THE LOW POINT OF THE DAY IN THE MID MORNING SESSION. AFTER HITTING INTRADAY LOWS THE INDICES SOON HIT INTRADAY HIGH LEVELS WITHIN AN HOUR BUT FAILED TO CAPITALIZE ON THE MOMENTUM AMID HIGH VOLATILITY. THEREAFTER, THE BOURSES CONTINUED TO GYRATE AROUND THE NEUTRAL LINE TO EVENTUALLY SNAP THE SESSION IN THE GREEN ZONE WITH MARGINAL GAINS. BREADTH OF THE MARKETS REMAINED NEGATIVE





TODAY MARKETS WOULD OPEN POSITIVE AND RANGEBOUND. IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5765 THEN LIKELY TO MOVE UP TO 5802 AND BREAK ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5832 LEVELS AND THIS WOULD ACT AS GOOD RESISTANCE IN THE MARKETS. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5750 THEN LIKLEY TO COME DOWN TO 5718 AND BREAK BELOW THIS POINT WOULD DRAG NIFTY TO 5700 AND ANY BREAK BELOW 5700 WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5674 AND THEN TO 5600 LEVELS. ONE HAS TO BEAR IN MIND THAT NIFTY MAY NOT REALLY COME DOWN BELOW 5600 LEVELS ONE CAN START ACCUMULATING ON EVERY DECLINE FROM HERE ON AS WE MAY LIKLEY TO INCH HIGHER. WE HAVE SEEN VERY STOCK SPECIFIC MOVES IN THE MARKETS IN THE LAST COUPLE OF SESSIONS WHICH WOULD REMAIN THE SAME IN THE MARKETS FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME TILL THE RESULTS ARE FULLY OUT AS INVESTORS AS LITTLE APPREHENSIVE.



BUY DCB SL 61 TGT 63.80/65/67
BUY SUBEX AZURE SL 71.75 TGT 74/76/79
BUY KEI INDS SL 29.40 TGT 30.80/31.25/31.90

Tuesday, April 19, 2011

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 19 APRIL 2011



GOOD MORNING!!!


MARKETS STARTED THE DAY ON A POSITIVE NOTE TRACKING THE ASIAN INDICES WHICH MOSTLY TRADED IN GREEN ZONE AS INVESTORS SHRUGGED OFF UNPLEASANT REPORTS OF YET ANOTHER ANTI-INFLATIONARY MOVE BY CHINA, INDICES WERE ENERGETIC AS LEADS FROM THE US REMAINED OPTIMISTIC. AFTER THE FLAT START THE BENCHMARKS CAPITALIZED ON THE INITIAL MOMENTUM ON THE BACK OF SUSTAINED BUYING ACROSS THE BOARD. HOWEVER, THE INDICES TOOK A SHARP U-TURN AFTER TOUCHING RESISTANCE LEVELS OF 5,920, MARKET PARTICIPANTS RESORTED TO BROAD BASED POSITION SQUARING ON THE BACK OF MOUNTING INFLATIONARY PRESSURE WHICH THEY FELT WILL FORCE RBI TO ADOPT MORE AGGRESSIVE STANCE IN ITS ANNUAL MONETARY POLICY REVIEW MEET ON MAY 3RD. ABSENCE OF SUPPORTIVE LEADS FROM THE MARKETS ACROSS THE GLOBE TOO DID NO GOOD FOR THE LOCAL SENTIMENTS. THE WILT IN INTERNATIONAL CRUDE OIL PRICES BECAUSE OF DEMAND SIDE WORRIES TOO WENT UNNOTICED AS INVESTORS CONTINUED TO BOOK PROFIT AND PUNISHED THE TECHNOLOGY BELLWETHER INFOSYS FOR THE SECOND STRAIGHT DAY FOR ITS DISAPPOINTING EARNINGS AND GUIDANCE FOR FY12. WHILE PROFIT BOOKING IN BANKING HEAVYWEIGHT STOCK LIKE HDFC BANK AHEAD OF ITS QUARTERLY EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENT LATER IN THE DAY LED TO PROFIT BOOKING IN OTHER BANKING MAJORS AND WITH THE ABSENCE OF ANY SHORT COVERING RALLY, THE BOURSES CONTINUED THEIR FREEFALL ONLY TO SETTLE AROUND THE LOWER LOWS OF THE DAY THE BREADTH OF THE MARKET REMAINED NEGATIVE AND CLOSED MUCH BELOW THE SUPPORT LEVELS.




TODAY MARKETS WOULD OPEN NEGATIVE TRACKING THE GLOBAL CUES. IN THE LAST TRADING SESSION WE HAVE SEEN THAT NIFTY HAS BROKEN THE CRUCIAL SUPPORT WHERE NIFTY LIKELY TO TRAVEL DOWN TO 5660 LEVELS ON THE BROAD LINES. ON INTRADAY PERSPECTIVE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5725 THEN LIKELY TO COME DOWN TO 5660 LEVELS AND BREAK BELOW 5660 WE WOULD TRAVEL DOWN TO 5630 LEVELS AND WE MAY TAKE MAJOR SUPPORT AT 5600 LEVELS IF NIFTY BREAKS DOWN 5630. ON THE FLIP SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5760 ONE CAN TAKE LONG POSITION ON INTRADAY FRONT FOR A TARGET OF 5796 AND THEN BREAK ABOVE THAT POINT WOULD TAKE IT TO 5845. LAST DAY WE HAVE WITNESSED HUGE SELLING WITH GOOD VOLUMES SO ONE HAS TO BE CAUTIOUS TAKING LONG POSITIONS.