Monday, April 19, 2010

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 19 APRIL 2010

GOOD MORNING!!!

INTENSE VOLATILITY WAS WITNESSED IN LAST TRADING SESSION, LOWER GLOBAL STOCKS AND A LIKELY INCREASE IN KEY SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATES BY THE RESERVE BANK OF INDIA (RBI) AT A POLICY REVIEW THIS WEEK, WEIGHED ON INVESTOR SENTIMENT. INTRADAY VOLATILITY WAS IMMENSE. STOCKS CUT LOSSES SOON AFTER AN INITIAL SLIDE CAUSED BY WEAK ASIAN STOCKS BUT COULD NOT WITHSTAND THE GAINS AFTER WEAK OPENING OF EUROPEAN MARKETS, WHICH KEPT DOMESTIC BOURSES DEPRESSED IN AFTERNOON TRADE. STOCKS EXTENDED LOSSES LATER. A SUDDEN REBOUND SAW THE INDICES BRIEFLY REGAINING POSITIVE ZONE IN MID-AFTERNOON FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME BUT THE MARKET AGAIN SLIPPED INTO THE RED MAKING THE OVERALL HEALTH OF THE MARKET VERY WEAK.

TODAY MARKETS WOULD OPEN RED WITH GOLDMAN SACHS FRAUD WHICH MADE ALL THE WORLD EQUITIES TO SLIDE, THIS WOULD MAKE OUR MARKETS TO OPEN HUGE GAP DOWN OF AROUND 80 TO 100 POINTS AND WOULD TAKE CRUCIAL SUPPORT AT 5150 LEVELS. THOUGH GOLDMAN SACHS EFFECT IS NOT DIRECT TO US AS IT WOULD MAKE NO DIFFERENCE TO OUR MARKETS ONLY ON THE GLOBAL WORRIES MARKET MAY HAVE LITTLE IMPACT OF IT AND CAN SLIDE IN TODAY TRADE AND THE ONLY EFFECT THIS WOULD HAVE ON OUR MARKETS IS STOCK SPECIFIC COUNTERS WHERE GOLDMAN SACHS HAS INVESTED MAY START DECLINING. COMPANIES LIKE LIC, EDUCOMP, CESE, LANCO AND FEW OTHER. TODAY IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5200 WOULD LIKELY TO COME DOWN TO 5170 AND THEN TO 5150. RISKY TRADERS CAN TAKE LONG POSITION BY GOING LONG AT 5150 TO 5170 LEVELS WITH A STOPLOSS OF 5126. UPSIDE CHANCES OF NIFTY ARE REMOTE WE CAN SEE SOME BUYING ONLY ABOVE 5205 LEVELS.
SOME POSITIVE COUNTERS: UNITECH, SESAGOA, IBREAL, GE SHIPPING, TITAN, BAJAJ AUTOFIN AND JINDAL SOUTH WEST HOLDING.

SELL LIC HSG SL 852 TGT 838/827/800*
SELL LANCO INFRA SL 58 TGT 54/50/45*
SELL EDUCOMP 736 TGT 707/676/650*
SELL ICICI BANK SL 926 TGT 910/900/890
BUY MSK PROJECTS WHEN MARKET DECLINES AROUND 155 TO 158 WITH SL 150 TGT 168/175/180.
KEEP A CLOSE WATCH ON THE ABOVE POSITIVE STOCKS MENTIONED DURING MARKET DECLINE FOR BUYING WITH STRICT STOPLOSS.

Friday, April 16, 2010

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 16 APRIL 2010

GOOD MORNING!!!
STRONG SLIDE IN THE MARKET HITTING FRESH INTRADAY LOWS ON PROFIT TAKING AFTER A FEW MONTHS RALLY. INITIALLY MARKET HAD A VERY GOOD AND STRONG OPENING BUT COULD NOT SUSTAIN FOR MUCH LONGER. MARKET UNTIL MID AFTERNOON WAS VERY RANGE BOUND BUT HAS ENDED IN RED ON PROFIT BOOKING THOUGH CAPITAL GOODS, FMCG STOCKS HAVE DECLINED ALONG WITH BANKING. ON THE MACRO FRONT, INFLATION DATA ROSE LESS THAN EXPECTED, IT WAS JUST HIGHER BY .01% FROM PREVIOUS MONTH. IT WAS 9.89% IN FEBRUARY AND IT IS 9.9% IN MARCH 2010 AS PER THE LATEST DATA. OVERALL HEALTH OF THE MARKET REMAINED STRONG.

TODAY MARKET WOULD OPEN NEGATIVE AND NIFTY LIKELY TO TEST 5245 LEVELS AND BREAK BELOW THIS POINT WOULD DRAG NIFTY TO 5205 WHICH IS A KEY SUPPORT ANY BREAK BELOW THIS POINT WOULD MAKE NIFTY MUCH WEAKER AND CAN TOUCH 5205 LEVELS BUT IF NIFTY BREAKS 5200 AND CLOSES THEN LIKELY TO NOSE DIVE TO 5131 LEVELS. ON THE POSITIVE SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5292 THEN LIKELY TO MOVE UP TO 5318 LEVELS AND ANY BREAK ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5348 LEVELS ANY POSITIVE TRADING ABOVE 5348 WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5414. WE MAY SEE A VERY STOCK SPECIFIC ACTIVITY IN COMING DAYS ON ACCOUNT OF Q4 RESULT.

BUY DIVISLABS SL 715 TGT 725/731/741
BUY SARDA ENERGY AND MIN LTD SL 254.5 TGT 260.4/278/284
BUY NIITTECH SL 180 TGT 183.8/186/190 S
BUY TAJGVK SL 165.5 TGT 170/173/175
BUY DABUR SL 178 TGT 180/181/182.75
BUY ROLTA ABOVE 190 SL 187 TGT 193/196/198
BUY CENTURY TEXTILES ABOVE 541 SL 535 TGT 547/552/560

Thursday, April 15, 2010

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 15 APRIL 2010

GOOD MORNING!!!
MARKET WAS VOLATILE IN THE LAST TRADING SESSION IT EXTENDED LOSSES INITIALLY AND HAS RECORDED INTRADAY LOW IN THE MORNING SESSION ON WEAK ASIAN STOCKS, HOWEVER INFOSYS GAINED ON A STRONGER REVENUE GUIDANCE IN DOLLAR TERMS IT HAS PAVED PATH FOR MARKETS TO RAISE AND CAME OFF FROM DAYS LOW. MEANWHILE, THE STOCK MARKET HEAVED A SIGH OF RELIEF AS THE GOVERNMENT HAS BROKERED A TRUCE BETWEEN THE TWO WARRING FINANCIAL SECTOR REGULATORS -- THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE BOARD OF INDIA (SEBI) AND INSURANCE REGULATORY AND DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY OF INDIA (IRDA) -- OVER THE SUPERVISION OF UNIT-LINKED INSURANCE PLANS (ULIPS), SIGNALLING A RETURN TO NORMAL BUSINESS FOR THE INSURANCE INDUSTRY. ULIPS ARE PRODUCTS SIMILAR TO MUTUAL FUNDS WITH AN ADDED LIFE COVER. A LARGE CHUNK OF FUNDS RAISED THROUGH ULIPS ARE INVESTED IN EQUITIES. ON MONDAY, AFTER SEVERAL ROUNDS OF TALKS, THE GOVERNMENT MANAGED TO PERSUADE BOTH THE REGULATORS -- SEBI AND IRDA -- TO SEEK A LEGAL MANDATE FROM A COURT ON OVERSIGHT OF ULIPS. FOLLOWING A MEETING BETWEEN THE CHIEFS OF SEBI AND IRDA AND SENIOR FINANCE MINISTRY OFFICIALS, BOTH THE REGULATORS HAVE DECIDED TO RESTORE STATUS QUO AND KEEP IN ABEYANCE THE ORDERS ISSUED BY BOTH LAST WEEKEND. ON FRIDAY 9 APRIL 2010, SEBI HAD BARRED 14 INSURANCE FIRMS FROM SELLING ULIPS WITHOUT ITS APPROVAL, TO WHICH IRDA REACTED THE NEXT DAY BY DIRECTING INSURERS TO IGNORE THE ORDER.

TODAY NIFTY WOULD OPEN ON POSITIVE BIAS. IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5340 THEN LIKELY TO MOVE UP TO 5366 AND TRADE ABBOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5390 LEVELS AND ANY CLOSE ABOVE 5390 IS CONSIDERED TO BE BULLISH IN THE NEAR TERM AND CAN EVEN ENTER INTO STOCK SPECIFIC LONGS. AND ON THE NEGATIVE SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5317 THEN LIKELY TO COME DOWN TO 5290 LEVELS AND ANY BREAK BELOW THIS POINT WOULD DRAG DOWN NIFTY TO 5250 LEVELS AND ANY CLOSE BELOW 5290 IS CONSIDERED TO BE WEAK AND TRY TO STAY AWAY FROM FRESH LONGS AND DONT INITIATE FRESH POSITIONS AND TRY TO BE IN CASH.

NO RECOS FOR THE DAY


Tuesday, April 13, 2010

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 13 APRIL 2010

GOOD MORNING!!!

BATTLE BETWEEN TWO REGULATORS IRDA AND SEBI ON OVERSIGHT OF UNIT LINKED INSURANCE PRODUCTS OR ULIPS WEIGHED ON THE INDICES IN A VERY VOLATILE SESSION THOUGH FINANCE MINISTER MR. PRANAB MUKHERJEE AFTER MARKET HOURS QUOTED AS SAYING IN THE ELECTRONIC MEDIA THE STATUS QUO ON ULIPS WILL CONTINUE. AUTO, CAPITAL GOODS AND BANKING STOCKS LED THE FALL BUT MARKET BREADTH DIDN’T TURN WEAK. INITIALLY MARKET OPENED GAP DOWN AND SOON RECOVERED BOUNCING BACK BUT COULD NOT SUSTAIN THE INITIAL GAINS AND SLID DOWN TO RED, FURTHER WEAKEND BY SURPASSING INTRADAY LOWS OF MORNING SESSION. IIP DATA WHICH WAS RELEASED IN THE AFTERNOON PROVED TO BE SUBTLE AS THE NUMBERS WERE LOWER THAN EXPECTED 15.1% IN FEBRUARY AND ALSO LOWER THAN 16.7% RISE IN JANUARY, PRODUCTION OF CAPITAL GOODS ROSE 44.4%, WHILE CONSUMER DURABLE GOODS OUTPUT GREW BY AN ANNUAL 29.9%.
TODAY MARKETS LOOK FLAT, TODAY IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5364 LIKELY TO GO UP TO 5410 AND ANY BREAK ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5442 AND ANY TRADE ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5470 LEVELS AND CLOSE ABOVE 5421 WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO NEW HIGHS OF THE YEAR. IF TRADES BELOW 5322 THEN LIKELY TO COME DOWN TO 5285 AND BREAK BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD BRING DOWN NIFTY TO 5254 LEVELS AND ANY FURTHER WEAKNESS WOULD DRIFT DOWN NIFTY TO 5202.


BUY TV18 SL 79.9 TGT 87/88/89
BUY UNITECH SL 77.40 TGT 79/80/81
BUY JAI CORP SL 284 TGT 299/306/311

Monday, April 12, 2010

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 12 APRIL 2010

GOOD MORNING!!!

LAST TRADING DAY ENDED UP WITH HUGE GAINS IN THE INDICES, INDICES HAVE GIVEN UP SOME OF ITS GAINS OF MORNING TRADE. THE SENTIMENT REMAINED FIRM TRACKING FROM EUROPEAN AND ASIAN MARKETS. FMCG, CAPITAL GOODS, METAL STOCKS EDGED HIGHER. ALL THE SECTORAL INDICES WERE ON POSITIVE ZONE. ALL IN ALL OVERALL HEALTH OF THE MARKET REMAINED STRONG AND FIRM. THE MARKET IS ENTERING AN IMPORTANT PERIOD OF QUARTERLY EARNINGS, WE EXPECT SOME GOOD NEWS ON THE RESULTS FRONT

TODAY MARKET LOOKS POSITIVE WITH US AND EUROPEAN INDICES CLOSING POSITIVE ALONG WITH STRONG MONDAY OPENING IN ASIAN INDICES. TODAY IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5390 LIKELY TO GO UP TO 5421 AND ANY BREAK ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5442 AND ANY TRADE ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5470 LEVELS AND CLOSE ABOVE 5421 WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO NEW HIGHS OF THE YEAR. IF TRADES BELOW 5340 THEN LIKELY TO COME DOWN TO 5285 AND BREAK BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD BRING DOWN NIFTY TO 5254 LEVELS AND ANY FURTHER WEAKNESS WOULD DRIFT DOWN NIFTY TO 5202.


BUY VBC INDUSTRIES SL 24.5 TGT 25.4/26.50/27.25
BUY BHARAT FORGE 273/275/278
BUY VBC FERRO ABOVE 411.75 SL 409.8 415/419/425
BUY VOLTAS SL 186.40 TGT 188/189/194
BUY IDFC SL 173.60 TGT 175.75/177.85/179
BUY INDIAN BANK CMP 185.15 SL 184.6 TGT 187/189/190.80

POSITIONAL TRADES

BUY ABRILANUVO CMP 957 SL 953 TGT 973/994/1009
BUY HDFC CMP 2838.35 SL 2830 TGT 2875/2896/2917/2942
BUY RIIL CMP 906.70 TGT 1100/1200/1330
BUY RELINFRA CMP 1101.55 1222/1258
BUY INDIABULLS FINANCIAL CMP 126.90 TGT 140/165/175
BUY MAHA SEAMLESS TGT 425/475
BUY TATA CHEMICALS TGT 356 (SHORT TERM)

Friday, April 9, 2010

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 09 APRIL 2010

GOOD MORNING!!!

KEY BENCHMARK INDICES SLUMPED DOWN ON WEAKNESS IN THE GLOBAL MARKETS AND PROFIT TAKING AFTER A THREE MONTH NON STOP RALLY FURTHER MARKETS GOT WEAKER WHEN THE INFLATION DATA WAS RELEASED ON THE SURGE IN FOOD INFLATION FROM 16.35% TO 17.70% MARKET GOT WEAKENED FURTHER, THIS MAY PUT PRESSURE ON RESERVE BANK OF INDIA TO REVIEW ITS MONETARY POLICY WHICH IS SCHEDULED ON 20 APRIL 2010, ON THIS NOTE AUTO AND BANKING STOCKS FELL. THE BREADTH OF THE MARKET TURNED NEGATIVE. STOCK SPECIFIC ACTIVITY WILL RULE IN THE MARKET IN THE NEAR TERM BASED ON THE EXPECTATIONS OF Q4 AS THERE ARE GOOD EXPECTATIONS OF FOURTH QUARTER RESULT AND HEAVY FOREIGN FUND INFLOWS AND RELEASE OF MONSOON REPORT BY METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT THESE ARE TWO MAIN TRIGGER IN THE MARKET WHICH MAY LIKELY TO CONTAIN THE MARKET FROM DROPPING DOWN.

TODAY MARKET IF TRADES BELOW 5290 THEN LIKELY TO COME DOWN TO 5275 AND BREAK BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD BE 5245 LEVELS AND ANY FURTHER WEAKNESS WOULD DRIFT DOWN NIFTY TO 5205 WHICH IS KEY ZONE FOR NIFTY TO HOLD IN THE NEAR TERM ANY BREAK BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO MUCH LOWER. ON THE POSITIVE SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5315 LIKELY TO GO UP TO 5342 AND ANY BREAK ABOVE THIS POINT WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5370 LEVELS AND CLOSE ABOVE 5342 WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO NEW HIGHS OF THE YEAR. TODAY WE MAY SEE LOT OF ACTIVITY AND VOLATILITY IN TELECOM SHARE AHEAD OF 3G AUCTION TODAY.
POSITIVE STOCKS: VOLTAS, PHOENIX MILLS, KSK ENERGY, BPCL, VIPIND, SOBHA, VENKEYS, CARBORUNIV, IGL, TATA COFFEE.
WEAK STOCKS: CAIRN, HINDOILEXP, ONGC
BUY ESSAROIL SL 148.5 TGT 153/155/159
BUY SESAGOA SL 484 TGT 494/497/500
BUY JAICORPLTD SL 278 TGT 289/294/299
BUY STER SL 859 TGT 872/876/880
BUY RIIL SL 887 TGT 917/930/954
BUY MPHASIS SL 646 TGT 658/665/672
BUY DABUR SL 169 TGT 172/173.75/175.4

POSITIONAL TRADES
BUY SHREE PRECOATED STEELS LTD CMP 17 TGT 27/54/67

Thursday, April 8, 2010

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 08 APRIL 2010

GOOD MORNING!!!

MOST IMPORTANT DRIVE IN THE MARKET WAS NOTHING OTHER THAN VOLATILITY WHICH AS RULED THE ROOST AFTER TOUCHING THE PSYCHOLOGICAL FIGURE OF 18000 IN SENSEX AND NEAR TO 5400 IN NIFTY. MARKET MOVED IN A VERY NARROW RANGE IN THE ENTIRE DAY. REALTY STOCKS GAINED. AUTO STOCKS ALSO ROSE ON THE BACK OF ROBUST MARCH 2010 SALES FIGURES. CAPITAL GOODS STOCKS GAINED AND FMCG SHARES DECLINED ON PROFIT TAKING. THE MARKET BREADTH, INDICATING THE OVERALL HEALTH OF THE MARKET, WAS STRONG. IT STOCKS DECLINED ON A RECENT SURGE IN RUPEE AGAINST THE DOLLAR. IN THE NEAR TERM WE MAY SEE STOCK SPECIFIC ACTION TO RULE THE ROOST OF THE MARKET ON EXPECTATIONS OF Q4 MARCH 2010 RESULTS.

TODAY MARKET LOOKS FLAT BUT THE MARKETS ARE AT KEY ZONE ONE HAS TO WATCH OUT CAREFULLY ON THE LEVELS FOR TRADING ON INTRADAY PERSPECTIVE, IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5397 ONLY THEN ONE IS ADVISED TO GO LONG ON INTRADAY BASIS FOR A TARGET OF 5440 LEVELS AND BREAK ABOVE WOULD TAKE TO 5535 LEVELS ON POSITIONAL FRONT. AND ON THE DOWNSIDE IF NIFTY TRADES 5360 THEN LIKELY TO COME DOWN TO 5340 AND THEN TO 5305 LEVELS ANY CLOSE BELOW 5300 WOULD BE WEAK. WE MAY SEE STOCK SPECIFIC ACTIVITY MOVING FROM HERE ON. POWER STOCKS LOOKING GOOD.

BUY RPOWER SL 154.9 TGT 161/163/165
BUY POWER GRID SL 109 TGT 111/114/116
SELL GMRINFRA SL 61.6 TGT 59.4/58.7/57