TECHNICAL TAKE: NIFTY HAS CLOSED ABOVE ITS 10-DMA OF 5,904 IN THE LAST SESSION, WHICH IS A POSITIVE INDICATOR FOR THE INDEX IN THE SHORT-TERM. IF THE NIFTY SUSTAINS ABOVE THE 5,904 IT CAN SURPASS THE RECENT HIGH OF 6,070 WHICH WAS MADE ON DECEMBER 6. THE INDEX MAY WITNESS SOME RESISTANCE AROUND 5,954 (50-DMA) AND 6,000 LEVELS. ON THE OTHER HAND, 5,855 (38.20% RETRACEMENT) AND 5,829 (100-DMA) WILL ACT AS STRONG SUPPORT LEVELS.
TODAY NIFTY MAY OPEN SLIGHTLY POSITIVE, IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5948 THEN LIKLEY TO MOVE UP TO 5984. ON THE NEGATIVE SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5920 THEN LIKELY TO SEE NIFTY TO SLIDE DOWN TO 5880 AND THEN TO 5832 AND 5800 ONE HAS TO KEEP IN MIND THAT WE ARE STILL ON A NEGATIVE TREND SO IDEALLY SHORTS ARE BETTER AT THIS STAGE. THOUGH WE HAVE HEADED 200 POINTS FROM THE LOWS OF LAST TWO TRADING SESSION THIS PULL BACK IS ONLY ON THE RETRACEMENT FRONT AND NOT A STRONG BUYING RALLY WE ARE STILL SAILING IN A NEGATIVE WAVE IDEALLY IF YOU LOOK AT THE CHART PATTERNS WE MAY SEE THAT THERE IS FURTHER DOWNSIDE STILL LEFT BEFORE WE TAKE-OFF FROM THE CURRENT POSITION IN THE NIFTY. SO THOUGH THERE IS LITTLE UPSIDE SEEN IN THE MARKETS, THEY MAY NOT REALLY BEHAVE THE WAY THEY ARE LOOKING AT THE MOMENT. I PERSONALLY FORESEE THE MARKETS TO COME DOWN BELOW 5700 LEVELS AND IF THE FALL IN NIFTY IS VERY SWIFT THEN WE MAY LIKELY TO HEAD DOWN TO TOUCH 5500 LEVELS. ON INTRADAY TERMS ONE CAN TAKE BOTH LONG AND SHORT CALLS BUT HAS TO BE WITH THE TREND AND DON’T CARRY LONGS OVER NIGHT TO THE MAXIMUM POSSIBLE LEVELS. IT IS ADVISED TO STAY CAUTIOUS ON LONGS TILL FURTHER NOTICE.
NOTE: STAY CAUTIOUS MARKET IS NOT VERY GREAT TO ADD POSITIONS