Wednesday, December 2, 2009

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 02 DECEMBER 2009

GOOD MORNING!!!
BUYING AT CLOSING OF THE MARKETS IN INDEX PIVOTALS PROPELLED KEY BENCHMARK INDICES TO FRESH INTRADAY HIGHS. CURTAINING OF DUBAIS FINANCE WOES HAVE TRIGGERED ALL THE EUROPE, ASIA AND US MARKETS TO A FRESH INTRADAY HIGHS AND ROBUST NOVEMBER AUTO SALES NUMBERS ADDED TO THE POSITIVE SENTIMENT TRIGGERED BY BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED GDP DATA, HELPING THE INDIAN INDICES REGAIN THE PSYCHOLOGICAL 17,000 AND 5000 MARK. EXPORTS FELL 6.6% TO $13.19 BILLION IN OCTOBER 2009 OVER OCTOBER 2008, THEIR 13TH STRAIGHT MONTHLY FALL. IMPORTS DROPPED 15% FROM A YEAR EARLIER TO $22 BILLION. THE TRADE DEFICIT SHRUNK TO $8.8 BILLION IN OCTOBER 2009 FROM $11.74 BILLION A YEAR EARLIER. EXPORTS FOR APRIL-OCTOBER, THE FIRST SEVEN MONTHS OF THE 2009-10 FISCAL YEAR, WERE DOWN 26% AT $91.05 BILLION FROM THE SAME PERIOD IN THE PREVIOUS YEAR. THE LATEST NUMBERS DO INDICATE THAT INDUSTRY AND SERVICES ARE GROWING VERY STRONGLY, THIS COULD HELP OFFSET TO A VERY LARGE EXTENT THE IMPACT OF THE DECLINE IN AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION. MEANWHILE, DUBAI WORLD, THE HOLDING COMPANY AT THE HEART OF THE DUBAI CRISIS, ON MONDAY ANNOUNCED A RESTRUCTURING PLAN INVOLVING $26 BILLION IN DEBT. HOWEVER, THE DUBAI GOVERNMENT SAID IT WAS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR DUBAI WORLD'S DEBTS, DEALING A BLOW TO CREDITORS' ASSUMPTIONS THAT THE ARAB EMIRATE WOULD GUARANTEE THE GOVERNMENT-CONTROLLED CONGLOMERATE'S LIABILITIES. DUBAI WORLD, ONE OF THE EMIRATE'S MAIN STATE HOLDING COMPANIES, LAST WEEK, ASKED FOR A DELAY ON MATURITIES UNTIL AT LEAST 30 MAY 2010. THE COMPANY HAS TOTAL DEBTS OF $59 BILLION, INCLUDING $3.52 BILLION OF ISLAMIC BONDS DUE 14 DECEMBER 2009 FROM ITS PROPERTY UNIT NAKHEEL. AUTO STOCKS RALLIED FOLLOWING ROBUST MONTHLY SALES IN NOVEMBER 2009.
TODAY IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5139 THEN IT WOULD TOUCH 5165 THIS IS ONE OF THE MOST CRUCIAL RESISTANCE IN NIFTY, IF NIFTY BREAKS THIS LEVEL AND CLOSES THEN NIFTY WILL TOUCH 5270 LEVEL. IF NIFTY CLOSES ABOVE 5165 THEN WE CAN TAKE A FRESH LONG POSITIONS IN NIFTY AND ONE HAS TO REMEMBER IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW THIS LEVEL THEN WITH THIS AS STOPLOSS ONE CAN GO SHORT AS WELL BUT ONLY WHEN THE JOURNEY IS TOWARDS DOWN AND NOT ON THE UPWARD JOURNEY. IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5111 THEN WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5070 LEVELS AND BREAK BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD TAKE MUCH MORE DOWN SIDE TO 5040.

BUY TATA MOTORS SL 699 TGT 714/719
BUY M&M SL 1069 TGT 1094/1104
BUY IBREAL SL 208 TGT 218/222/229
BUY HCC SL 139.9 TGT 146/150
BUY DLF SL SL 367 TGT 380/384
BUY RELCAP SL 849 TGT 884/890

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 01 DECEMBER 2009

GOOD MORNING!!!

KEY BENCHMARK INDICES SURGED AS THE LATEST DATA SHOWED THE ECONOMY EXPANDED AT A STRONGER-THAN-EXPECTED 7.9% PACE IN THE SECOND QUARTER. HOWEVER, INTRADAY VOLATILITY WAS HIGH. ASIAN STOCKS SURGED AFTER UNITED ARAB EMIRATES CENTRAL BANK ON SUNDAY, 29 NOVEMBER 2009, OFFERED ADDITIONAL LIQUIDITY TO LOCAL AND INTERNATIONAL BANKS IN THE UAE AND REASSURED INVESTORS IT "STANDS BEHIND" THE LENDERS. ALSO BOOSTING THE SENTIMENTS, GLOBAL BANKS OUTSIDE THE GULF SAID THEY WERE NOT HEAVILY EXPOSED TO DUBAI DEBT. GOVERNMENT DATA RELEASED TODAY SHOWED THE GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) GREW BY 7.9% IN Q2 SEPTEMBER 2009, FROM 7.1% IN THE PREVIOUS YEAR, SHATTERING FORECASTS AS STIMULUS MEASURES BOOSTED DEMAND AND MANUFACTURING ACTIVITY SURGED. THE ECONOMY HAD REGISTERED A 6.1% GROWTH IN THE FIRST QUARTER. THE BULK OF THE RECOVERY WAS LED BY A 9.2% GROWTH IN MANUFACTURING, WHILE MINING AND CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITIES ALSO EXPANDED BY 9.5% AND 6.5%, RESPECTIVELY. BUT AGRICULTURE CONTINUED TO ME A MAJOR DRAG WITH A MERE 0.9% GROWTH.
TODAY MARKET WOULD BE RANGE BOUND. NIFTY IF TRADES ABOVE 5040 THEN IS LIKELY TO MOVE UP TO 5070 AND BREAK ABOVE THIS LEVEL AND TRADE WITH GOOD VOLUMES MAY TAKE NIFTY TO 5111 ANY CLOSE ABOVE 5070 IS CONSIDERED TO BE VERY GOOD SIGN AND ONE CAN GO LONG POSITIONALLY. ON THE NEGATIVE SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5040 THEN LIKELY TO SEE NIFTY AT 5001 AND BREAK BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD TAKE IT TO 4978 ONE CAN STAY SHORT IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5000.
BUY JSL SL 105 TGT 114/117
BUY RANBAXY SL 451 TGT 460/465/469
BUY HEROHONDA SL 1744 TGT 1714/1719/1724
BUY TATASTEEL SL 571 TGT 563/569
POSITIONAL TRADES

BUY CHOKSI IMAGING LTD TGT 200%/500%

Monday, November 30, 2009

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 30 NOVEMBER 2009

GOOD MORNING!!!
INDICES HAVE RECOVERED HUGE INTRADAY LOSSES AFTER EUROPEAN STOCKS RECOVERED AFTER THE OPENING. NEWS THAT CHINA HAS PLEDGED TO STICK WITH A PRO-GROWTH STANCE IN 2010 ALSO HELPED. THE MARKET RECOVERY AFTER A HEAVY SELL-OFF EARLIER. BROADER FEARS THAT GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS HAVE NOT HEALED PROPERLY SINCE LAST YEAR'S CRISIS, AND THAT THE DUBAI PROBLEM COULD EXPOSE THESE WEAKNESSES. INTRADAY VOLATILITY WAS HIGH. INDIA AND THE UNITED ARAB EMIRATES (UAE), OF WHICH DUBAI IS A MEMBER, ARE SEPARATED BY THE ARABIAN SEA AND CLOSELY LINKED BY THE MILLIONS OF INDIANS WHO WORK IN THE REGION. INDIANS MAKE UP ABOUT 40% OF THE UAE'S POPULATION, ACCOUNTING FOR 10% TO 12% OF INDIA'S INWARD REMITTANCES, THE UAE WAS THE SECOND-BIGGEST EXPORT DESTINATION FOR INDIA DURING THE NINE MONTHS THROUGH DECEMBER 2008, ACCOUNTING FOR $14.6 BILLION, OR 11.15% OF INDIA'S TOTAL. ANOTHER IMPORTANT MATTER OF CONCERN IN THE PRESENT SITUATION IS THE FOOD PRICE INDEX WHICH ROSE 15.58% AND PRIMARY ARTICLE INDEX ROSE 11.04% IN 12 MONTHS TO 14 NOVEMBER 2009,
TODAY MARKETS WOULD POSITIVE WITH RANGE BOUND AND THE HEALTH OF THE MARKET STILL IN A BEARISH PHASE ON A POSITIONAL BASIS ONE HAS TO LOOK ABOVE POINTS IN VIEW BEFORE TAKING ANY POSITIONS BUT THE TREND AS OF NOW REMAINS POSITIVE ON INTRADAY TERMS BUT ONE HAS TO TAKE PROFITS AT REGULAR INTERVALS. TODAY IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5011 THEN MARKET WOULD GO TO 5070 ONE CAN GO LONG INITIALLY FOR A TARGET OF 5011 IN THE MARKET BUT ABOVE THIS LEVEL IF NIFTY HOLDS WITH VOLUMES THEN IT IS EVIDENT THAT WE SEE NIFTY TO TOUCH 5070. ON THE DOWN SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 4939 ONLY THEN ONE CAN GO SHORT FOR AN IMMEDIATE TARGET OF 4843
.
BUY RELCAP SL 824.7 TGT 846
BUY SUZLON SL 72 TGT 75/79
BUY JSW STEEL SL 932 TGT 942/960/977
BUY DLF SL 342 TGT 350/355

Friday, November 27, 2009

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 27 NOVEMEBER 2009

GOOD MORNING!!!
WEAKNESS IN EUROPEAN MARKETS FOLLOWING A SETBACK IN CHINESE STOCKS TRIGGERED A SELL-OFF ON THE DOMESTIC BOURSES IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE DAY'S TRADING SESSION. WORLD STOCKS FELL AS NEWS OF DUBAI ASKING FOR A CREDITOR STANDSTILL AT DUBAI WORLD AND VIETNAM'S CURRENCY DEVALUATION, INCREASED INVESTORS' AVERSION TO RISK. SELLING PRESSURE WAS CONSPICUOUS IN BANKING, IT AND OIL & GAS STOCKS. THE MARKET BREADTH WAS WEAK WITH SMALL AND MID-CAP STOCKS UNDER SELLING PRESSURE. INTRADAY VOLATILITY WAS HIGH AS TRADERS ROLLED OVER POSITIONS IN THE DERIVATIVE SEGMENT FROM NOVEMBER 2009 SERIES TO DECEMBER 2009 SERIES AHEAD OF THE EXPIRY. THE MARKET CUT LOSSES AFTER AN INITIAL SLIDE. HOWEVER, THE INTRADAY RECOVERY PROVED SHORT-LIVED. THE MARKET WEAKENED IN EARLY AFTERNOON TRADE AS ASIAN STOCKS FELL. AS PER REPORTS, ROLLOVER OF NIFTY POSITIONS WAS ABOUT 64% WHILE MARKET WIDE ROLLOVER STOOD AT 66% AT THE END OF WEDNESDAY'S (25 NOVEMBER 2009) TRADE. IN INDIVIDUAL STOCKS, HINDUSTAN UNILEVER, CAIRN INDIA, INDIA CEMENTS, MARUTI SUZUKI AND POWER GRID CORPORATION HAVE WITNESSED HIGH ROLLOVER. CHINESE STOCKS TUMBLED ON THURSDAY, LED BY LOSSES IN BANK STOCKS, AS INVESTORS FLED THE MARKET AMID MOUNTING WORRIES THAT THE GOVERNMENT MAY TAKE STEPS TO CLAMP DOWN ON SURGING ASSET PRICES. BANKS FELL ON CONCERNS ABOUT SHRINKING LENDING AND A POSSIBLE NEED TO RAISE FUNDS NEXT YEAR TO SHORE UP THEIR CAPITAL. MEANWHILE, DUBAI'S FINANCIAL HEALTH HAS COME UNDER SCRUTINY AFTER A MAJOR, GOVERNMENT-OWNED INVESTMENT COMPANY ASKED FOR A SIX-MONTH DELAY ON REPAYING ITS DEBTS. DUBAI WORLD, WHICH HAS TOTAL DEBTS OF $59BN IS ASKING CREDITORS IF IT CAN POSTPONE ITS FORTHCOMING PAYMENTS UNTIL MAY NEXT YEAR. DUBAI WORLD HAS ALSO APPOINTED GLOBAL ACCOUNTANCY GROUP DELOITTE TO HELP WITH ITS FINANCIAL RESTRUCTURING. THE COMPANY HAS BEEN HIT HARD BY THE GLOBAL CREDIT CRUNCH AND RECESSION. IT WAS DUE TO REPAY $3.5BN OF ITS DEBTS NEXT MONTH. THE REQUEST FOR A DELAY IN REPAYMENTS LED TO MAJOR CREDIT RATINGS AGENCIES DOWNGRADING A NUMBER OF STATE-BACKED COMPANIES. MEANWHILE, VIETNAM'S STOCK MARKET TUMBLED AFTER THE NATION'S CENTRAL BANK DEVALUED THE CURRENCY BY AROUND 5% AGAINST THE US DOLLAR AND RAISED INTEREST RATES BY A PERCENTAGE POINT TO 8% FROM 1 DECEMBER 2009. CLOSER HOME, THE FOOD PRICE INDEX ROSE 15.58% AND PRIMARY ARTICLE INDEX ROSE 11.04% IN 12 MONTHS TO 14 NOVEMBER 2009, DATA RELEASED BY THE GOVERNMENT TODAY SHOWED. THE FUEL PRICE INDEX DECLINED 1.51%.

TODAY MARKETS WOULD OPEN GAP DOWN WITH LOT OF PRESSURE FROM THE ABOVE FACTORS. TODAY IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 4997 IT IS LIKELY TO TOUCH 4939 WHICH IS GOOD SUPPORT BREAK BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 4844 CLOSING ANYTHING BELOW 4900 IS CONSIDERED TO BE WEAK AND WOULD LEAD NIFTY 4720 LEVELS. AND ON THE UPSIDE ONE HAS TO GO LONG ONLY ABOVE 5032.

SELL CAIRN INDIA SL 281 TGT 266/258/246
SELL STERLITE SL 851 TGT 833/821/810
SELL RELIANCE SL 1066 TGT 1040/1031/1026
SELL ICICI BANK SL 866 TGT 846/837/826
SELL TATASTEEL SL 551 TGT 532/522/516

Thursday, November 26, 2009

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 26 NOVEMBER 2009

GOOD MORNING!!!
INDICES PARED GAINS AFTER HITTING THEIR HIGHEST LEVEL IN MORE THAN A MONTH. CONCERNS THAT A GLUT IN SHARE SALES MAY SOAK AVAILABLE LIQUIDITY IN THE SECONDARY MARKET PULLED THE MARKET OFF THE HIGHER LEVEL. INDEX HEAVYWEIGHT RELIANCE INDUSTRIES ROSE TODAY AFTER THE FIRM REOPENED RETAIL FUEL OUTLETS. BANKING AND FMCG STOCKS GAINED. BUT REALTY STOCKS FELL. THE MARKET BREADTH TURNED WEAK, EASING FROM A STRONG BREADTH IN EARLY TRADE. THE MARKET RECOVERED AFTER FALLING INTO THE RED FOR A BRIEF PERIOD IN EARLY TRADE. THE MARKET EXTENDED GAINS LATER. ROLLOVER IN NIFTY FUTURES WAS ABOUT 54% AT THE END OF TUESDAY'S (24 NOVEMBER 2009) TRADING. ROLLOVER IN MIN NIFTY FUTURES WAS ABOUT 33%. THE MARKET WIDE ROLLOVER WAS ABOUT 48%. IN INDIVIDUAL STOCKS, HINDUSTAN UNILEVER, MARUTI SUZUKI, POWER GRID CORPORATION, RELIANCE POWER AND BHARAT HEAVY ELECTRICALS (BHEL), HAVE WITNESSED HIGH ROLLOVER. CONCERNS THAT A GLUT IN SHARE SALES MAY SUCK LIQUIDITY FROM THE SECONDARY MARKET PULLED THE MARKET OFF THE HIGHER LEVEL. MORGAN STANLEY EXPECTS INDIAN FIRMS TO RAISE ROUGHLY $70 BILLION THROUGH SHARE SALES OVER THE NEXT THREE YEARS, MORGAN STANLEY'S INDIA COUNTRY HEAD NARAYAN RAMACHANDRAN SAID AT AN INVESTMENT SUMMIT ON WEDNESDAY, 25 NOVEMBER 2009. STAKE SALES IN STATE-RUN FIRMS WILL ACCOUNT FOR $10-$15 BILLION OF THAT, RAMACHANDRAN SAID. THE UPCOMING AUCTION OF THIRD-GENERATION MOBILE SPECTRUM WILL ALSO SPUR POTENTIALLY BILLIONS OF DOLLARS IN EQUITY RAISING, ALTHOUGH NOT NECESSARILY FROM THE PUBLIC MARKETS, HE SAID. INDIAN COMPANIES HAVE RAISED ABOUT $18 BILLION IN EQUITY THUS FAR THIS YEAR TO REPAY HIGH-COST DEBT OR TO FUND EXPANSION PLANS. LAST YEAR, INDIAN FIRMS RAISED $7.2 BILLION IN EQUITY. MEANWHILE, THE FINANCE MINISTRY ON TUESDAY CONSTITUTED A WORKING GROUP TO SUGGEST WAYS OF RATIONALIZING EXISTING REGULATIONS RELATING TO FOREIGN PORTFOLIO INVESTMENTS, IN ORDER TO ENCOURAGE FOREIGN INVESTMENT INTO THE COUNTRY. THE GROUP WILL REVIEW THE LEGAL AND REGULATORY FRAMEWORK TO SIMPLIFY RULES RELATED TO OVERSEAS INVESTMENT IN THE FORM OF FOREIGN INSTITUTIONAL INVESTMENT (FII), FOREIGN VENTURE CAPITAL INVESTMENT (FVCI), PRIVATE EQUITY AND NRI INVESTMENT, ACCORDING TO NOTIFICATION ISSUED BY THE FINANCE MINISTRY. THE PANEL WILL FURTHER STUDY ARRANGEMENTS RELATING TO USE OF PARTICIPATORY NOTES (PN) AND SUGGEST ANY CHANGES REQUIRED TO INCREASE TRANSPARENCY. THE COMMITTEE, WHICH WILL SUBMIT ITS REPORT WITHIN FOUR MONTHS, WILL IDENTIFY CHALLENGES IN MEETING THE FINANCING NEEDS OF THE LNDIAN ECONOMY THROUGH THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT. IT WILL SUGGEST SPECIFIC SHORT, MEDIUM AND LONG TERM LEGAL, REGULATORY AND OTHER POLICY CHANGES. THE GROUP WILL FURTHER REVISIT THE ROLE OF TRANSACTION TAXES. CAPITAL MARKET TRANSACTIONS ARE SUBJECT TO SECURITIES TRANSACTION TAX (STT) AND ALSO A 15% SHORT-TERM CAPITAL GAINS TAX. THERE IS DEBATE IN THE POLICY ESTABLISHMENT AS TO WHETHER THE STT SHOULD BE CONTINUED AND WHETHER ORDINARY INCOME AND CAPITAL GAINS NEED TO BE TAXED AT DIFFERENT RATES.

TODAY MARKETS WOULD BE HIGHLY VOLATILE WITH FNO CONTRACT EXPIRING FOR THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER. IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5111 THEN WOULD GO DOWN TO 5070 AND BREAK BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5032 AND ON THE UPSIDE IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5111 THEN WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5159 AND TRADING ABOVE THIS LEVEL WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5277 IN A VERY SHORT TERM, ANY CLOSE ABOVE 5159 IS CONSIDERED TO BE BULLISH AND ANY CLOSE BELOW 5066 IS CONSIDERED TO BE WEAK.

BUY PSL ABOVE 150.05 TGT 155/159/165**
SELL RELINFRA BELOW 1053 SL 1066 TGT 1045/1032
SELL RELIANCE CAP BELOW 850 SL 856 TGT 843/837
SELL DLF BELOW 360 SL 364 TGT 354/351
SELL JSWSTEEL BELOW 1000 SL 1014 TGT 986/970
SELL TATASTEEL SL 566.8 TGT 548/539
SELL JINDALSTEEL BELOW 693 SL 702 TGT 679/672

POSITIONAL TRADES
BUY SHARP INDIA TGT 100%

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 25 NOVEMBER 2009

GOOD MORNING!!!
VOLATILITY WAS IMMENSE WITH KEY INDICES MOVING UP AND DOWN FOR THE ENTIRE DAY. A SHARP SLIDE IN CHINESE STOCKS AND WEAK EUROPEAN MARKETS WEIGHED ON INVESTOR SENTIMENT ALONG WITH FNO EXPIRY NEARING. INDEX HEAVYWEIGHT RELIANCE INDUSTRIES (RIL) FELL. METAL AND FMCG STOCKS ALSO FELL. BUT IT STOCKS GAINED. THE MARKET BREADTH WAS NEGATIVE, COMPARED TO A STRONG BREADTH IN EARLY TRADE. BANK STOCKS LED DECLINE IN WORLD STOCKS AFTER GLOBAL RATING AGENCY STANDARD & POOR'S SAID ON MONDAY IT FOUND MOST BANKS IN A GLOBAL STUDY WERE WEAKLY CAPITALIZED, WITH CITIGROUP, UBS AND MIZUHO FINANCIAL GROUP MORE THAN TWO-THIRDS BELOW THE AVERAGE. MANY GLOBAL STOCK INVESTORS HAVE TURNED CAUTIOUS HEADING INTO THE YEAR-END, WANTING TO LOCK IN PROFITS AFTER A VERY GOOD RUN IN 2009

TODAY MARKET WOULD BE HIGHLY VOLATILE AS THE FNO EXPIRY IS TOMORROW. MARKETS ARE AT A VERY CRUCIAL PHASE OF RESISTANCE SO ONE HAS TO BE VERY CAUTIOUS ON THE UPSIDE. WE WOULD SUGGEST TO AVOID HUGE VOLUMES TILL FNO EXPIRY. TODAY MARKET MAY BE WEAK AS THE CLOSING WAS WEAKER ALONG WITH THE GLOBAL QUES SHOWING NEGATIVE TO FLAT. NIFTY MAY PHASE A TOUGH RESISTANCE AT THESE LEVELS. TODAY IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5073 THEN WILL TAKE NIFTY TO 5045 AND TRADING BELOW THIS LEVEL NIFTY WOULD TOUCH 5020 LEVELS BUT BREACH BELOW 5000 WOULD TAKE NIFTY ON THE NEGATIVE FRONT. ON THE POSITIVE SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5073 THEN WE CAN SEE NIFTY TO TOUCH 5096 AND TRADE ABOVE THIS LEVEL WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 5124.

BUY M&M SL 1059 TGT 1080/1089
BUY ESCORTS SL 111 TGT 119.7/122/124.9
BUY LANCO ABOVE 570 SL 564 TGT 574/579/584

SELL JINDAL STEEL SL 711 TGT 698/695/680
SELL ABAN BELOW 1348 SL 1366 TGT 1333/1316/1301
SELL JINDAL SAW SL 901 TGT 877/856/831
POSITIONAL TRADES
BUY SUNSHIELD CHEMICAL (530845) TGT 100
BUY UNI ABEX ALLOYS (504605) TGT 300/450/600
BUY MEDICAMEN BIOTECH LTD (531146) TGT 45

Tuesday, November 24, 2009

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 24 NOVEMBER 2009

GOOD MORNING!!!
VOLATILITY RULED THE KEY IN THE LAST TRADING SESSION. MARKET AFTER OPENING BELL WAS AROUND 40 POINTS ON THE UPSIDE AND CONTINUED TO REMAIN ON THE POSITIVE TERRITORY TILL THE END OF THE DAY AND INDICES (NIFTY AND SENSEX) ATTAINED THEIR HIGHEST CLOSING LEVELS IN MORE THAN A MONTH. FIRM GLOBAL STOCKS AIDED THE RALLY ON THE DOMESTIC BOURSES. INDEX HEAVYWEIGHT RELIANCE INDUSTRIES (RIL) LED THE RALLY. THE STOCK SURGED MORE THAN 3% YESTERDAY, AFTER THECOMPANY SAID IT HAS PUT A BID TO ACQUIRE BANKRUPT CHEMICALS MAKER LYONDELLBASELL INDUSTRIES. METAL, FMCG AND BANKING AND AUTO STOCKS ROSE. THE MARKET BREADTH WAS STRONG. TRADERS ROLLED OVER POSITIONS IN THE DERIVATIVE SEGMENT FROM NOVEMBER 2009 SERIES TO DECEMBER 2009 SERIES AHEAD OF THE EXPIRY OF THE NEAR MONTH NOVEMBER 2009 CONTRACTS ON THURSDAY, 26 NOVEMBER 2009 A WEAK DOLLAR BOOSTED WORLD STOCKS, AS TRADERS BORROW AGAINST THE LOW-YIELDING GREENBACK TO REINVEST ELSEWHERE IN WHAT'S KNOWN AS THE CARRY TRADE. THE DOLLAR INDEX, WHICH TRACKS THE PERFORMANCE OF THE GREENBACK AGAINST A BASKET OF OTHER MAJOR CURRENCIES, FELL 0.7% TO 75.153 IN RECENT TRADING. THE DOLLAR HAS TUMBLED THIS YEAR ON SPECULATION THE US FEDERAL RESERVE WILL KEEP INTEREST RATES LOW FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD OF TIME TO AID RECOVERY IN THE US ECONOMY.

TODAY MARKET WOULD BE VOLATILE, MARKET AS TOLD YESTERDAY IF IT CROSSES 5085 THEN WE CAN SEE NIFTY TO MOVE TO 5159. WE MAY SEE NIFTY TO MOVE TO 5159 IN TODAYS SESSION AND NIFTY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY VOLATILE IN THE NEXT 2 DAYS OF TRADING AHEAD OF EXPIRY, NIFTY MAY FACE A STILL RESISTANCE AROUND 5159 ZONES AND ONE IS ADVISED TO STAY CAUTIOUS AT THIS LEVEL BEFORE THIS EXPIRY BUT ANY CLOSE ABOVE 5159 IN NIFTY TODAY MAY TAKE NIFTY TO 5276 LEVELS BUT ONE IS ADVISED TO STAY VERY CAUTIOUS AND TRADE WITH VERY LOW QUANTITY. AND ON THE NEGATIVE SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 5080 THEN ONE CAN GO SHORT WITH A STOPLOSS OF 5121 FOR A TARGET OF 5010 AND BREAK BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 4937 ANY CLOSE BELOW 4980 IS CONSIDERED TO BE WEAK AND ONE CAN TAKE POSITIONAL SHORTS.

BUY AXIS BANK SL 984 TGT 1004/1018
BUY TATASTEEL SL 565 TGT 577/584

INTRADAY CALLS WILL BE GIVEN DURING MARKET HOURS TO THE REGISTERED CLIENTS