Wednesday, November 4, 2009

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 04 NOVEMBER 2009

GOOD MORNING!!!
ALL THE INDICES EXTENDED LOSSES FOR SIXTH STRAIGHT SESSION OF TRADE AS SELL-OFF GRIPPED IN INDEX PIVOTALS IN LATE TRADE. INDEX HEAVYWEIGHT RELIANCE INDUSTRIES (RIL) SLUMPED OVER 6% ON REPORTS THE COMPTROLLER AND AUDITOR GENERAL (CAG) HAS SET UP A TEAM TO EXAMINE THE EXPENSES RELIANCE INDUSTRIES (RIL) INCURRED ON ITS D6 NATURAL GAS FIELD IN THE KRISHNA-GODAVARI (KG) BASIN IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. STOCKS FELL ACROSS THE GLOBE AS INVESTORS CONTINUED TO FRET OVER THE EARLY REMOVAL OF GOVERNMENT STIMULUS, PARTICULARLY IN THE FINANCIAL SECTOR. HIGH VOLATILITY WAS THE HALLMARK OF THE DAY'S TRADING SESSION. THE MARKET BREADTH WAS QUITE WEAK. SELLING PRESSURE WAS INTENSE WITH ALL THE SECTORAL INDICES ENDING WITH LOSSES. REALTY, CEMENT AND METAL SHARES DECLINED SHARPLY ON SELLING PRESSURE. IT STOCKS SLIPPED ON PROFIT BOOKING. TELECOM SHARES SAW DIVERGENT TREND WITH BHARTI AIRTEL REBOUNDING FROM A 52-WEEK LOW ON BARGAIN HUNTING AFTER A STEEP RECENT SLIDE. RELIANCE COMMUNICATIONS DROPPED ON POOR EARNINGS.
TODAY MARKETS WOULD OPEN GAP UP WITH GLOBAL QUES.. NIFTY HAS BREACHED THE KEY SUPPORT OF 4591 THE NEXT LEVEL FOR NIFTY IS AROUND 4384 SO ONE IS CAUTIONED TO STAY AWAY FROM LONGS AS NIFTY MAY DIP FURTHER, NIFTY MAY TAKE RESISTANCE AT 4740 LEVELS. ONE CAN STAY SHORT AROUND THIS LEVEL WITH 4740 AS STOPLOSS. ANY UPSIDE CAN BE USED AS A SELLING OPPORTUNITY WITH STOPLOSS AS 4740.
ALL THESE RECOMMENDATIONS ARE FOR INTRADAY FOLLOW STRICT STOPLOSSES
B
UY LICHSG SL 678 TGT 720/739
BUY YESBANK SL 214 TGT 221/226/234
BUY BREAL SL 207 TGT 220/226/232
BUY ACC BELOW SL 694 TGT 715/728/744
BUY DLF SL 339 TGT 347/356/362

Tuesday, November 3, 2009

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 03 NOVEMBER 2009

GOOD MORNING!!!
KEY BENCHMARK INDICES INITIAL SURGE TRIGGERED BY FIRM GLOBAL STOCKS THEIR AFTER EXTENDED LOSSES FOR THE FIFTH DAY IN A ROW. A WEAK DEBUT OF POWER UTILITY INDIABULLS POWER WEIGHED ON THE INVESTOR SENTIMENT, TELECOM STOCKS FELL, INDEX HEAVY WEIGHT RELIANCE INDUSTRIES AND ONGC WAS DOWN AS INVESTORS REACTED TO THEIR EARNINGS. THE MARKET BREADTH, INDICATING THE OVERALL HEALTH OF THE MARKET WAS WEAK. INTRADAY VOLATILITY WAS IMMENSE. RESULTS OF AUTO SECTOR WERE COMMENDABLE.
TODAY MARKET EVEN IF IT OPENS POSITIVE ON GLOBAL QUES MAY NOT WITH STAND FOR A LONGER TIME DURING THE DAY AS THE INDEX HAS BREACHED THE MAJOR SUPPORT LEVEL OF 4740 WHICH MAY TAKE NIFTY TO FURTHER DOWNSIDE, EVEN IF NIFTY MOVES UP IT MAY BE SHORT LIVED AND NIFTY IS LIKELY TO TEST MUCH LOWER LEVELS THAN EXPECTED. TODAY IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 4704 THEN IT IS LIKELY TO TEST 4654 AND BREAK BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD SEE SOME SUPPORT AT 4591 AND THERE AFTER 4384 IN SHORT TERM. AND ON THE POSITIVE FRONT AVOID LONGS AT ANY COST FOR POSITIONAL AND ON INTRADAY BASIS ONE IS ADVISED TO GO LONG WITH STRICT STOPLOSS ABOVE THE LEVELS SPECIFIED. ONLY STOCK SPECIFIC MOVES EXPECTED. IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 4740 ONE IS EXPECTED TO GO LONG FOR A TARGET OF 4791 AND DON’T HOLD ANY POSITIONAL LONGS OVER NIGHT. POWER LOOKING VERY WEAK ALONG WITH TELECOM.

BUY STER ABOVE 781 SL 765 TGT 801/811/824
BUY FSL SL 33.40 TGT 35.7/36.4
BUY KTK BANK ABOVE 140 SL 136.8 TGT 141.7/143.8/146.5
SELL BHARTI SL 297.5 TGT 285/281/276
SELL RELINFRA SL 1058 TGT 1041/1036/1021
SELL RPOWER SL 143 TGT 134/131/126**
POSITIONAL TRADE
BUY INTERFIT TECHNO PRODUCT AT 10.5 WITHOUT STOPLOSS TGT 25/50 ****(MUST BUY)

Friday, October 30, 2009

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 30 OCTOBER 2009

GOOD MORNING!!!
INDICIES TUMBLED YET AGAIN ON THE STRIGHT 4TH DAY. VOLATILITY WAS THE ORDER OF THE DAY IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE TRADING SESSION AS THE MARKET LOST GROUND AFTER A STRONG INTRADAY REBOUND. VOLATILITY SURGED AS TRADERS ROLLED OVER POSITIONS IN THE DERIVATIVES SEGMENT FROM OCTOBER 2009 SERIES TO NOVEMBER 2009. RELIANCE INDUSTRIES FELL IN CHOPPY TRADE AHEAD OF ITS Q2 RESULTS LATER IN THE DAY. INDIA'S LARGEST TRACTOR MAKER BY SALES MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA ROSE ON STRONG Q2 RESULT. BUT METALS MAJOR STERLITE INDUSTRIES FELL ON POOR Q2 RESULT. REALTY, BANKING AND METAL STOCKS ALSO FELL.
TODAY MARKET WOULD OPEN ON POSITIVE NOTE WITH GLOBAL QUES TRADING ON POSITIVE SPHERE, TODAY WE ARE HEADING TO THE FRESH DAY OF NOVEMBER CONTRACTS. NIFTY HAS TAKEN SUPPORT AT A VERY CRUCIAL POINT. IF NIFTY BREAKS AND CLOSES BELOW 4740 THEN WE MAY SEE FURTHER MORE CORRECTION IN THE MARKET. FOR TODAY IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 4755 THEN IT IS LIKELY TO TAKE NIFTY TO 4798 AND TRADING ABOVE THIS LEVEL WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 4830-4845 AND ON THE DOWNSIDE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 4740 THEN IT IS LIKELY TO SLIDE DOWN MUCH MORE THAN ANTICIPATED. SO STAY INVESTED NOW WITH A STOPLOSS OF 4740 LEVELS.

BUY M&M SL 914 TGT 941/956/972
BUY VOLTAS SL 149 TGT 154/156
BUY RANBAXY SL 389 TGT 396/399/404
SELL DLF BELOW 374 SL 381 TGT 364/358/352
SELL RECAP BELOW 720 SL 731 TGT 711/701

TRADE SELL CALLS ONLY IF NIFTY BREAKS BELOW 4740 ELSE ONE CAN TAKE BUY POSITIONS.

Thursday, October 29, 2009

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 29 OCTOBER 2009

GOOD MORNING!!!
INDICES HAVE SHOWN LOT OF WEAKNESS IN THE LAST THREE OF DAYS. MARKET HAS SHOWN LOT OF VOLATILITY IN THE TRADE ON THE NEGATIVE BIAS, THE MARKET BREADTH WAS WEAK. REALTY STOCKS ROSE. BUT, METAL AND AUTO STOCKS FELL. MARKET EXTENDED LOSSES FOR STRAIGHT THIRD DAY. INTRADAY VOLATILITY WAS HIGH AS TRADERS ROLLED POSITIONS IN THE DERIVATIVES SEGMENT FROM OCTOBER 2009 SERIES TO NOVEMBER 2009. MEANWHILE, A HEIGHTENED VOLATILITY IN THE RUPEE AGAINST THE DOLLAR IN THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS RAISED WORRIES THAT THE CORPORATE SECTOR MAY SUFFER LOSSES ON HEDGING. THE RUPEE WEAKENED PAST THE 47 PER DOLLAR MARK FOR THE FIRST TIME IN THREE WEEKS IN EARLY TRADE ON WEDNESDAY, 28 OCTOBER 2009, AS ASIAN STOCKS FELL.
TODAY MARKET WOULD REMAIN HIGHLY VOLATILE ON ACCOUNT OF EXPIRY. TODAY IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 4860 THEN IT IS LIKELY TO TEST 4881 AND THEN MAY TAKE NIFTY TO 4924 WHICH IS REMOTE. AND ON THE NEGATIVE SIDE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 4812 IT IS LIKELY TO TAKE SUPPORT AROUND 4798 BREAK BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD DIRECTLY LEAD NIFTY TO 4755 AND ANY CLOSE BELOW 4740 IS VERY VITAL ON CHARTS AS THIS IS CONSIDERED TO BE THE MOST CRUCIAL SUPPORT FOR NIFTY. ONE IS ADVISED TO STAY CAUTIOUS AND DON’T ROLL OVER THE POSITIONS ON THE BUY SIDE TO THE MAXIMUM AS THERE IS EVERY CHANCE THAT MARKET MAY TUMBLE MUCH MORE.
BUY JINDALSTEEL 690 TGT 707/714/719
BUY SBI SL 2214 TGT 2242/2264
BUY SESAGOA SL 289 TGT 299/304/309

BUY HDIL SL 339 TGT 357/366
SELL MARUTI SL 1424 TGT 1400/1388
SELL BPCL SL 501 TGT 486/479

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 28 OCTOBER 2009

GOOD MORNING!!!
ALL THE KEY INDICES REMAINED WEAK AFTER THE RESERVE BANK OF INDIA DID AWAY WITH SOME SPECIAL LIQUIDITY STEPS THAT IT HAD ANNOUNCED IN THE AFTERMATH OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS. THE RBI HAD PUMPED IN MASSIVE LIQUIDITY IN THE BANKING SYSTEM IN THE PAST ONE YEAR OR SO TO HELP REVIVE THE DOMESTIC ECONOMY IN THE AFTERMATH OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS. BANKING STOCKS FELL AS THE RBI DID NOT RELAX MARK-TO-MARKET RULES FOR BANK'S DEBT HOLDINGS. THE MARKET HAS BEEN AGOG WITH TALKS OF THE CENTRAL BANK HIKING THE CEILING ON THE PORTION OF GOVERNMENT SECURITIES THAT BANKS CAN PARK IN HELD-TO-MATURITY (HTM). RATE SENSITIVE REALTY STOCKS FELL. METAL STOCKS ALSO DECLINED. INDEX HEAVYWEIGHT RELIANCE INDUSTRIES, TOO, EDGED LOWER. THE RESERVE BANK KEPT ITS BENCHMARK LENDING AND BORROWING RATES ON HOLD AT A QUARTERLY MONETARY POLICY REVIEW ON TUESDAY, 27 OCTOBER 2009. IT ALSO KEPT STEADY CASH RESERVE RATIO AT 5% BUT RAISED THE STATUTORY LIQUIDITY RATIO TO 25% FROM 24% WITH EFFECT FROM 7 NOVEMBER 2009. THE CENTRAL BANK SAID AN ACCOMMODATIVE MONETARY POLICY STANCE IS REQUIRED AS THE ONGOING ECONOMIC RECOVERY WAS "FRAGILE" THE RBI KEPT 2009/10 GDP FORECAST AT 6% WITH UPSIDE BIAS AND SAID IT SEES MODEST DECLINE IN AGRICULTURE. THE RBI RAISED PROJECTION OF INFLATION TO 6.5% WITH AN UPSIDE BIAS AT END MARCH 2010 FROM EARLIER 5%. THE RBI SAID BANK CREDIT REMAINED SLUGGISH AND IT CUT ITS FORECAST FOR ADJUSTED NON-FOOD CREDIT GROWTH IN 2009/10 TO 18% FROM 20%. "BANKS ARE URGED ONCE AGAIN TO STEP UP THEIR EFFORTS TOWARDS CREDIT EXPANSION WHILE PRESERVING CREDIT QUALITY WHICH IS CRITICAL FOR REVIVAL OF GROWTH," IT SAID. VOLATILITY MAY REMAIN HIGH ON THE BOURSES THIS WEEK AS TRADERS ROLLOVER POSITIONS IN THE DERIVATIVES SEGMENT FROM OCTOBER 2009 SERIES TO NOVEMBER 2009 SERIES AHEAD OF THE EXPIRY ON THURSDAY, 29 OCTOBER 2009.
TODAY MARKET WOULD OPEN WEAK AND REMAIN HIGHLY VOLATILE AND THE TREND WOULD REMAIN NEGATIVE AND CRUCIAL SUPPORT SEEN FOR NIFTY IS 4797 AND BREAK BELOW THIS LEVEL WE WILL HEAD TOWARDS 4740 WHICH IS ANOTHER MOST IMPORTANT SUPPORT. ON THE POSITIVE SIDE ONE IS ADVICED TO STAY AWAY FROM LONGS AT THIS STAGE NO UPMOVE ON BULLISH SIDE SO INVESTORS ARE ADVISED TO EXIT THEIR POSTIONS TO THE MAXIMUM AND TRADERS ARE ADVISED TO TRADE SHORT TO THE MAXIMUM AND ONLY THE RECOMMENDED SCRIPS CAN BE TRADED LONG ONLY WITH STOPLOSSES AND WITH VERY LOW VOLUMES ON THE BUY SIDE, WE CAN SEE MUCH MORE DOWNSIDE AS THE VOLUMES ON THE SELLING ZONE ARE MUCH HIGHER, ALL ARE ADVISED TO STAY CAUTIOUS SMALL UPMOVE MAY PUT YOU IN PANIC AVOID LONGS TILL IT IS ADVISED.
BUY MCLEOD RUSSEL SL 199 TGT 209/214
BUY IDFC SL 142 TGT 154/157
BUY FORTIS HEALTHCARE LTD SL 89 TGT 114*
SELL JINDAL STEEL BELOW 670 SL 688 TGT 657/639/607
SELL LICHSGFIN SL 815 TGT 780
SELL JINDALSAW SL 740 TGT 710/693

Monday, October 26, 2009

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 27 OCT 2009

GOOD MORNING!!!
ALL MOST ALL THE STOCKS ALONG WITH THE KEY INDICES PLUNGED TO HIT FRESH DAY'S LOW IN LATE TRADE. VOLATILITY RULED THE ROOST AS TRADERS ROLLED POSITIONS IN THE DERIVATIVES SEGMENT FROM OCTOBER TO NOVEMBER. NIFTY FELL BELOW THE PSYCHOLOGICAL 5,000 MARK AFTER REGAINING THAT LEVEL IN EARLY AFTERNOON TRADE. THE MARKET BREADTH WAS WEAK. BANKING, METAL, REALTY AND CONSTRUCTION STOCKS FELL. INTRADAY VOLATILITY WAS HIGH AHEAD OF THE EXPIRY OF THE NEAR TERM CONTRACTS THIS WEEK. FIRM ASIAN STOCKS HELPED THE MARKET BRIEFLY HIT POSITIVE ZONE IN EARLY TRADE AFTER AN INITIAL SLIDE. VOLATILITY CONTINUED LATER. THE MARKET MOVED INTO POSITIVE ZONE FROM NEGATIVE ZONE IN EARLY AFTERNOON TRADE. THE RBI PUMPED IN MASSIVE LIQUIDITY IN THE BANKING SYSTEM IN THE PAST ONE YEAR OR SO TO HELP REVIVE THE DOMESTIC ECONOMY IN THE AFTERMATH OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS. WHILE AS EXIT FROM THE LOOSE MONETARY POLICY IS IMMINENT, SPECULATION ON THE BOURSES IS THE TIMING OF THE EXIT POLICY. THE RBI IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ITS BENCHMARK LENDING AND BORROWING RATES ON HOLD AT A QUARTERLY MONETARY POLICY REVIEW ON TUESDAY, 27 OCTOBER 2009. A SECTION OF MARKET, HOWEVER, EXPECTS THE RBI TO RAISE THE CASH RESERVE RATIO (CRR), THE PROPORTION OF DEPOSITS THAT BANKS KEEP WITH THE CENTRAL BANK, TO TAME INFLATIONARY PRESSURES IN THE ECONOMY. A POSSIBILITY OF A HIKE IN THE STATUTORY LIQUIDITY RATIO (SRL) CANNOT BE RULED OUT EITHER. IN NOVEMBER 2008, THE RBI HAD REDUCED THE SLR BY ONE PERCENTAGE POINT TO 24% - ITS FIRST MOVE IN 11 YEARS - AS PART OF ITS MEASURES TO BOOST LIQUIDITY TO CUSHION THE IMPACT OF THE GLOBAL CREDIT CRISIS AFTER LEHMAN BROTHER'S COLLAPSE. SLR IS THE MINIMUM SHARE OF BANK DEPOSITS TO BE HELD IN APPROVED GOVERNMENT SECURITIES. BANK STOCKS FELL AFTER COMMENTS FROM A FINANCE MINISTRY OFFICIAL ON FRIDAY, 23 OCTOBER 2009, DASHED HOPES FOR THE CENTRAL BANK RELAXING MARK-TO-MARKET RULES FOR BANK'S DEBT HOLDINGS. THE MARKET HAS BEEN AGOG WITH TALKS OF THE CENTRAL BANK HIKING THE CEILING ON THE PORTION OF GOVERNMENT SECURITIES THAT BANKS CAN PARK IN HELD-TO-MATURITY (HTM) CATEGORY, POSSIBLY AT THE QUARTERLY MONETARY POLICY REVIEW ON 27 OCTOBER 2009.
TODAY MARKET WILL BE HIGHLY RANGE BOUND AHEAD OF EXPIRY, IN THE LAST SESSION WE HAVE WITNESSED A DEEP SELL OFF IN THE LAST HALF AN HOUR OF TRADE MAKING THE BREADTH OF THE MARKET WEAK. STRUCTURALLY OUR MARKETS HAVE WEAKENED EVEN POSITIVE IMPACT OF GLOBAL CUES MAY NOT HOLD OUR MARKETS MUCH, SO ONE IS ADVISED TO STAY OUT OF LONGS AND DON’T INITIATE LONGS ANY MORE AT THIS STAGE TILL IT IS ADVISED. IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 4978 WE CAN SEE NIFTY TO COME DOWN TO 4949 AND BREAK BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 4919 WHICH IS VERY CRUCIAL, ONE IS ADVISED TO STAY CAUTIOUS. ON THE UPSIDE IF NIFTY CROSSES 5016 ONLY THEN ONE CAN SEE IT TO GO UP TO 5044.
STOCKS LOOKING WEAK PTC, MLL, KSOILS, GSPL, GTLINFRA, IBREAL, SINTEX, UCOBANK, RPOWER, ISPAT, FSL, DLF, UNITECH, ROLTA, RNRL AND ABAN. STOCKS ON POSITIVE SIDE HEROHONDA, EDUCOMP, WELGUJ, PANTALOON, AUROPHARMA, RANBAXY AND CIPLA.
BUY HEROHONDA SL 1587 TGT 1624/1645/1663
BUY WELGUJ SL 281 TGT 289/294
BUY PANTALOON ABOVE 331 SL 330 TGT 336/339
BUY AUROPHARMA SL 834 TGT 860/869/875
SELL DLF SL 437 TGT 414
SELL AXIS BANK SL 981 TGT 958/952/945
SELL JINDALSAW BELOW 780 SL 794 TGT 767/735

Note: buy calls one should buy only on the positive zone

INTRADAY TIPS FOR 26 OCTOBER 2009

GOOD MORNING!!!
LAST TRADING SESSION WAS VERY VOLATILE WITH RANGE BOUND MOVEMENTS IN THE KEY INDICES NOTCHING UP SMALL GAINS ON FIRM GLOBAL STOCKS. INTRADAY VOLATILITY WAS IMMENSE. CAPITAL GOODS STOCKS FELL. RELIANCE INDUSTRIES (RIL) SLUMPED AS PARTNER HARDY OIL SAID A D9 WELL WILL BE PLUGGED AND ABANDONED. BUT, SUGARS, IT AND FMCG STOCKS ROSE. NIFTY PROVISIONALLY CLOSED BELOW THE PSYCHOLOGICAL 5,000 MARK AFTER MOVING ABOVE AND BELOW THAT LEVEL DURING THE DAY. THE NIFTY HAD SETTLED BELOW THE 5,000 MARK ON THURSDAY. ON THE POLITICAL FRONT, THE RULING CONGRESS PARTY-LED ALLIANCE WON TWO STATE POLLS ON THURSDAY, A RESULT THAT GIVES MORE ROOM FOR THE ALLIANCE TO PUSH ECONOMIC REFORMS.
TODAY MARKETS WOULD REMAIN RANGE BOUND AND THE VOLATALITY WOULD REMAIN IMMENSE. IF NIFTY TRADES ABOVE 5027 THEN IS LIKELY TO TEST 5072 ANYTHING ABOVE THIS LEVEL IS CONSIDERED TO BE POSITIVE AND DOWNSIDE IF NIFTY TRADES BELOW 4998 THEN WE CAN SEE NIFTY TO 4966 AND BREAK BELOW THIS LEVEL WOULD TAKE NIFTY TO 4923(THIS LEVEL IS VERY CRUCIAL) MARKET STRENGTH LOOKS WEAK STRUCTURALLY SO ONE IS ADVISED TO STAY CAUTIOUS. STOCK SPECIFIC MOVEMENT IS LIKELY.

BUY BAJAJ HIND SL 229 TGT 235/237
BUY DR REDDY SL 949 TGT 966/984
BUY IDFC SL 159 TGT 163/164.9
BUY ITC SL 256 TGT 265/269

SELL RELCAP BELOW 871 SL 881 TGT 866/855/848
POSITIONAL TRADES
BUY DUJODWALA PRODUCTS TGT 25/40